New York Islanders vs Ottawa Senators Prediction, Odds & Live Score — Oct 15

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NHL•Thu, Oct 15 • 11:00 PMSilver Edge

NYI

New York Islanders

2-3

OTT

Ottawa Senators

5-1

Win Probability

Moneyline

NYI

+141

38.5% win prob

EV -3.6%

Kalshi

Moneyline

OTT

-147

61.5% win prob

EV +1.7%

Kalshi

Analysis

The New York Islanders visit Ottawa Senators in a matchup where the simulation favours the home side. Tim Stutzle projects as the game's most dangerous scorer at 57% to record more than 0.5 points, while Brayden Schenn sits at 43%. The difference in offensive punch—Stutzle significantly more likely to break through than any Islanders forward—tilts the model toward Ottawa. AccuScore's record on similar home-favoured games across 1,928 graded contests stands at 60% accuracy. For New York to pull the upset, its depth would need to generate scoring without relying on any single breakout performance.

Probability Explorer— drag to explore lines

Puck Line (-1.5/+1.5)NYI -1.5

60.25-5.5

NYI Cover

33.3%

no odds at this line

OTT Cover

66.7%

no odds at this line

Total (Over/Under)O/U 5

0.55.7511

Over Cover

35.7%

no odds at this line

Under Cover

39.8%

no odds at this line

Push 24.5% — stake returned if it lands exactly on the total

Player Props

OTT NYI

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Odds Comparison

Moneyline

Book	OTT	EV	NYI	EV
Kalshi ↗	-147	+1.7%	+141	-3.6%

Where to Bet

silver

OTT ML+1.7% EV

Win probability: 61.5%

Kalshi

-147Bet →

AccuScore's simulation makes Ottawa Senators 62% to beat New York Islanders (39%).

Projection updated Oct 13, 10:45 AM ET

Who will win New York Islanders vs Ottawa Senators?

AccuScore's simulation makes Ottawa Senators the more likely winner at 62%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.

Will Ottawa Senators beat New York Islanders?

AccuScore's simulation gives Ottawa Senators a 62% chance of beating New York Islanders, against 39% for New York Islanders. Ottawa Senators are at home and favoured on these numbers.

Form, head-to-head and betting trends

How New York Islanders and Ottawa Senators come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.

Recent form

New York IslandersLWLWL

Oct 10vs Tampa Bay LightningL 3–5
Oct 8vs Chicago BlackhawksW 4–1
Oct 6at New York RangersL 2–5
Oct 3vs New Jersey DevilsW 6–0
Sep 30at Toronto Maple LeafsL 1–2

New York Islanders have won 2 of their last 5 (L-W-L-W-L, most recent first).

Ottawa SenatorsWWWLW

Oct 12at New Jersey DevilsW 4–1
Oct 10vs Nashville PredatorsW 3–2
Oct 8vs Philadelphia FlyersW 2–1
Oct 6at Detroit Red WingsL 3–5
Oct 5at Boston BruinsW 4–1

Ottawa Senators have won 4 of their last 5 (W-W-W-L-W, most recent first).

Head-to-head

The teams have met 28 times since 2012: New York Islanders 17, Ottawa Senators 11. The last meeting, on Mar 22, 2022, finished Ottawa Senators 0, New York Islanders 3.

Mar 22, 2022OTT 0 – 3 NYI
Feb 1, 2022OTT 1 – 4 NYI
Dec 7, 2021NYI 5 – 3 OTT
Mar 5, 2020NYI 3 – 4 OTT
Nov 5, 2019OTT 1 – 4 NYI

Every New York Islanders vs Ottawa Senators meeting →

Betting trends

New York Islanders are 224-154 as favourite and 183-237 as underdog, and 191-213 on the road (47% of 404 games, 2011–2022).

Ottawa Senators are 107-87 as favourite and 236-341 as underdog, and 190-198 at home (49% of 388 games, 2011–2022).

Record	NYI	OTT
As favourite	224-154	107-87
As underdog	183-237	236-341
At home	222-182	190-198
On the road	191-213	153-234

Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →