Winnipeg Jets
3-1
Chicago Blackhawks
1-5
Win Probability
This is essentially a coin flip between the Winnipeg Jets visiting Chicago, with the simulation giving the slimmest lean to the visitors. Kyle Connor and Mark Scheifele each project 55% chances to record more than 0.5 points, representing the Jets' offensive thrust against a Blackhawks side where Anton Frondell is the only forward above 51% to reach that mark. The game hinges on whether Winnipeg can convert its shot volume into goals while Chicago's limited offensive projection keeps pace—the simulation sees this as a tight, low-scoring affair. On similar games where AccuScore has favoured the away side by this margin, the model has won 49% over 1,832 graded contests. Chicago wins if its depth contributors can surprise in a way the 10,000 simulations did not anticipate.
| Book | CHI | EV | WIN | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | +127 | +4.1% | -127 | -3.3% |
NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Winnipeg Jets 52% to beat Chicago Blackhawks (48%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Winnipeg Jets the more likely winner at 52%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Chicago Blackhawks a 48% chance of beating Winnipeg Jets, against 52% for Winnipeg Jets. Chicago Blackhawks are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
How Winnipeg Jets and Chicago Blackhawks come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Winnipeg Jets have won 3 of their last 5 (L-W-W-W-L, most recent first).
Chicago Blackhawks have won 1 of their last 5 (L-L-W-L-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 33 times since 2011: Winnipeg Jets 19, Chicago Blackhawks 14. The last meeting, on Mar 20, 2022, finished Winnipeg Jets 6, Chicago Blackhawks 4.
Winnipeg Jets are 216-151 as favourite and 174-223 as underdog, and 180-210 on the road (46% of 390 games, 2011–2022).
Chicago Blackhawks are 246-177 as favourite and 147-210 as underdog, and 209-184 at home (53% of 393 games, 2011–2022).
| Record | WIN | CHI |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 216-151 | 246-177 |
| As underdog | 174-223 | 147-210 |
| At home | 217-175 | 209-184 |
| On the road | 180-210 | 189-209 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →