St. Louis Blues
2-2
Minnesota Wild
4-1
Win Probability
The Minnesota Wild host the St. Louis Blues in a matchup where the simulation leans slightly toward the home side. Quinn Hughes projects at 65% to record more than 0.5 points, while Dylan Holloway sits at 45%—that gap in offensive expectancy defines the game's pivot. Minnesota's top-end creation against St. Louis's depth scoring will determine whether the totals stay under or push over. AccuScore's model has hit 50% on similarly shaped games across 1,738 calls, though in eight comparable recent matchups it went 6-2. For the Blues to steal this one on the road, they'll need secondary contributors to outperform their projections while shutting down Minnesota's primary threats.
| Book | MIN | EV | STL | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -160 | -5.2% | +150 | +6.1% |
NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Minnesota Wild 55% to beat St. Louis Blues (45%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Minnesota Wild the more likely winner at 55%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Minnesota Wild a 55% chance of beating St. Louis Blues, against 45% for St. Louis Blues. Minnesota Wild are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How St. Louis Blues and Minnesota Wild come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
St. Louis Blues have won 2 of their last 5 (W-L-L-L-W, most recent first).
Minnesota Wild have won 3 of their last 5 (W-W-L-L-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 60 times since 2011: St. Louis Blues 37, Minnesota Wild 23. The last meeting, on May 12, 2022, finished Minnesota Wild 1, St. Louis Blues 5.
St. Louis Blues are 324-222 as favourite and 143-138 as underdog, and 229-192 on the road (54% of 421 games, 2011–2022).
Minnesota Wild are 255-169 as favourite and 151-199 as underdog, and 225-167 at home (57% of 392 games, 2011–2022).
| Record | STL | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 324-222 | 255-169 |
| As underdog | 143-138 | 151-199 |
| At home | 243-176 | 225-167 |
| On the road | 229-192 | 188-206 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →