Calgary Flames vs Vegas Golden Knights Prediction, Odds & Live Score — Oct 15

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NHL•Fri, Oct 16 • 2:00 AMSilver Edge

CAL

Calgary Flames

0-5

VGK

Vegas Golden Knights

5-2

Win Probability

Moneyline

CAL

+251

16.4% win prob

EV -21.2%

Kalshi

Moneyline

VGK

-245

83.6% win prob

EV +8.9%

Kalshi

Analysis

The Vegas Golden Knights host a struggling Calgary Flames side in a matchup that heavily favors the home team. Jack Eichel projects as the game's most likely point scorer at 73%, while Mark Stone sits at 59%—a sharp drop to Calgary's best bet, Joel Farabee, at 31%. The simulation turns on Vegas's ability to convert those advantages into goals; the Flames' road record and offensive limitations make it difficult for them to keep pace. AccuScore's model has backed the home side in games shaped like this one at 87% accuracy across 52 similar matchups. Calgary would need an upset-caliber performance and significant Vegas letdown to overcome the gap.

Probability Explorer— drag to explore lines

Puck Line (-1.5/+1.5)CAL -1.5

6.50.25-6

CAL Cover

34.0%

no odds at this line

VGK Cover

66.0%

no odds at this line

Total (Over/Under)O/U 5.5

0.55.7511

Over Cover

42.2%

no odds at this line

Under Cover

57.8%

no odds at this line

Player Props

VGK CAL

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Odds Comparison

Moneyline

Book	VGK	EV	CAL	EV
Kalshi ↗	-245	+8.9%	+251	-21.2%

Where to Bet

silver

VGK ML+8.9% EV

Win probability: 83.6%

Kalshi

-245Bet →

AccuScore's simulation makes Vegas Golden Knights 84% to beat Calgary Flames (16%).

Projection updated Oct 13, 10:45 AM ET

Who will win Calgary Flames vs Vegas Golden Knights?

AccuScore's simulation makes Vegas Golden Knights the more likely winner at 84%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.

Will Vegas Golden Knights beat Calgary Flames?

AccuScore's simulation gives Vegas Golden Knights a 84% chance of beating Calgary Flames, against 16% for Calgary Flames. Vegas Golden Knights are at home and favoured on these numbers.

Form, head-to-head and betting trends

How Calgary Flames and Vegas Golden Knights come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.

Recent form

Calgary FlamesLLLLL

Oct 10vs Anaheim DucksL 2–4
Oct 8vs Colorado AvalancheL 3–7
Oct 4at Seattle KrakenL 1–6
Oct 3at Vancouver CanucksL 1–4
Oct 1vs Seattle KrakenL 1–6

Calgary Flames have won 0 of their last 5 (L-L-L-L-L, most recent first).

Vegas Golden KnightsLWWWW

Oct 12at Minnesota WildL 2–4
Oct 10vs Los Angeles KingsW 2–1
Oct 8vs Toronto Maple LeafsW 4–3
Oct 6at Seattle KrakenW 6–2
Oct 4at Vancouver CanucksW 3–2

Vegas Golden Knights have won 4 of their last 5 (L-W-W-W-W, most recent first).

Head-to-head

The teams have met 14 times since 2018: Calgary Flames 4, Vegas Golden Knights 10. The last meeting, on Apr 14, 2022, finished Vegas Golden Knights 6, Calgary Flames 1.

Apr 14, 2022VGK 6 – 1 CAL
Feb 9, 2022VGK 0 – 6 CAL
Dec 5, 2021CAL 2 – 3 VGK
Mar 8, 2020VGK 5 – 3 CAL
Nov 17, 2019CAL 0 – 6 VGK

Every Calgary Flames vs Vegas Golden Knights meeting →

Betting trends

Calgary Flames are 227-161 as favourite and 158-226 as underdog, and 180-211 on the road (46% of 391 games, 2011–2022).

Vegas Golden Knights are 197-119 as favourite and 56-63 as underdog, and 140-81 at home (63% of 221 games, 2017–2022).

Record	CAL	VGK
As favourite	227-161	197-119
As underdog	158-226	56-63
At home	212-181	140-81
On the road	180-211	114-103

Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →