Boston Bruins
4-2
Anaheim Ducks
4-2
Win Probability
The Boston Bruins visit Anaheim for a matchup between teams locked at 4-2, with the simulation favoring the Ducks at home. David Pastrnak carries a 68% chance of posting more than 0.5 points, the Bruins' best individual projection, while Leo Carlsson reaches 62% for the hosts. The game turns on scoring volume: AccuScore projects a combined 6.7 goals, above the market total in 54% of simulations. On games shaped like this one—home teams favored by a modest margin—the model's historical record stands at 50-50 across 1,738 graded contests. For Boston to pull the upset, the Bruins would need to contain Anaheim's secondary scoring, where Mikael Granlund sits at 56% to chip in a point.
| Book | ANA | EV | BOS | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -104 | +8.7% | +104 | -9.1% |
NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Anaheim Ducks 60% to beat Boston Bruins (40%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Anaheim Ducks the more likely winner at 60%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Anaheim Ducks a 60% chance of beating Boston Bruins, against 40% for Boston Bruins. Anaheim Ducks are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Boston Bruins and Anaheim Ducks come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Boston Bruins have won 3 of their last 5 (W-W-W-L-L, most recent first).
Anaheim Ducks have won 3 of their last 5 (L-W-W-L-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 14 times since 2012: Boston Bruins 4, Anaheim Ducks 10. The last meeting, on Mar 1, 2022, finished Boston Bruins 3, Anaheim Ducks 4.
Boston Bruins are 374-249 as favourite and 89-97 as underdog, and 222-189 on the road (54% of 411 games, 2011–2022).
Anaheim Ducks are 213-145 as favourite and 164-255 as underdog, and 214-184 at home (54% of 398 games, 2011–2022).
| Record | BOS | ANA |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 374-249 | 213-145 |
| As underdog | 89-97 | 164-255 |
| At home | 243-166 | 214-184 |
| On the road | 222-189 | 169-221 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →