New Jersey Devils
3-3
Washington Capitals
3-3
Win Probability
The New Jersey Devils travel to face the Washington Capitals in a matchup where the simulation decisively favors the home side. Jack Hughes projects as the Devils' most likely point producer at 63%, while Dylan Strome carries a 47% chance to break through for the Capitals. New Jersey's depth at forward will need to step up—Jesper Bratt sits at just 49%—because Washington's balanced scoring gives it multiple paths to victory. AccuScore's model has returned 1.1% on similar home-team calls across 538 graded games, though the Devils can still pull the upset if their depth contributors find the scoresheet when it matters.
| Book | WAS | EV | NJ | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -138 | +10.5% | +135 | -15.0% |
NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Washington Capitals 70% to beat New Jersey Devils (30%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Washington Capitals the more likely winner at 70%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Washington Capitals a 70% chance of beating New Jersey Devils, against 30% for New Jersey Devils. Washington Capitals are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How New Jersey Devils and Washington Capitals come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
New Jersey Devils have won 2 of their last 5 (W-L-W-L-L, most recent first).
Washington Capitals have won 2 of their last 5 (L-L-W-W-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 42 times since 2011: New Jersey Devils 11, Washington Capitals 31. The last meeting, on Mar 26, 2022, finished New Jersey Devils 3, Washington Capitals 4.
New Jersey Devils are 122-93 as favourite and 198-343 as underdog, and 152-236 on the road (39% of 388 games, 2011–2022).
Washington Capitals are 358-219 as favourite and 122-130 as underdog, and 256-164 at home (61% of 420 games, 2011–2022).
| Record | NJ | WAS |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 122-93 | 358-219 |
| As underdog | 198-343 | 122-130 |
| At home | 174-207 | 256-164 |
| On the road | 152-236 | 234-190 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →