Carolina Hurricanes
6-1
Winnipeg Jets
4-1
Win Probability
When the Carolina Hurricanes visit Winnipeg Jets, AccuScore's simulation clearly favours the visitors. Mark Scheifele projects at 61% to record more than 0.5 points, while Sebastian Aho sits at 61% as well—a matched pair of their respective teams' most likely contributors. The deciding factor is depth: Carolina's next three forwards, Andrei Svechnikov, Jackson Blake and Taylor Hall, all land between 42% and 55%, whereas Winnipeg's supporting cast falls away sharply after Scheifele and Kyle Connor. Across eight similar games in the model's history, the favoured side won seven. For Winnipeg to upset this projection, it would need secondary scoring to outpace expectation while containing Carolina's balanced attack.
| Book | WIN | EV | CAR | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | +170 | +0.5% | -170 | -0.3% |
NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Carolina Hurricanes 63% to beat Winnipeg Jets (37%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Carolina Hurricanes the more likely winner at 63%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Winnipeg Jets a 37% chance of beating Carolina Hurricanes, against 63% for Carolina Hurricanes. Winnipeg Jets are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
How Carolina Hurricanes and Winnipeg Jets come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Carolina Hurricanes have won 5 of their last 5 (W-W-W-W-W, most recent first).
Winnipeg Jets have won 4 of their last 5 (W-L-W-W-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 24 times since 2011: Carolina Hurricanes 10, Winnipeg Jets 14. The last meeting, on Apr 21, 2022, finished Winnipeg Jets 2, Carolina Hurricanes 4.
Carolina Hurricanes are 211-160 as favourite and 164-239 as underdog, and 168-227 on the road (43% of 395 games, 2011–2022).
Winnipeg Jets are 216-151 as favourite and 174-223 as underdog, and 217-175 at home (55% of 392 games, 2011–2022).
| Record | CAR | WIN |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 211-160 | 216-151 |
| As underdog | 164-239 | 174-223 |
| At home | 215-178 | 217-175 |
| On the road | 168-227 | 180-210 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →