Seattle Kraken
5-2
Florida Panthers
3-2
Win Probability
When the Seattle Kraken visit the Florida Panthers, the simulation leans slightly toward the home side. Matthew Tkachuk carries a 60% chance of recording more than 0.5 points, the highest projection on either roster, while Seth Jones sits at 56%—both well above what the Kraken's leading contributors project for. Seattle's best scoring chances come through Jordan Eberle and Jared McCann, each at 45%, but that gap in offensive threat is what shapes this matchup. AccuScore's model has gone 50% on calls favoring the home team in this win-probability range across 1,738 graded games. For Seattle to pull the upset, it will need its depth scoring to outpace the Panthers' star power.
| Book | FLA | EV | SEA | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -167 | -7.7% | +156 | +10.3% |
NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Florida Panthers 53% to beat Seattle Kraken (47%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Florida Panthers the more likely winner at 53%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Florida Panthers a 53% chance of beating Seattle Kraken, against 47% for Seattle Kraken. Florida Panthers are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Seattle Kraken and Florida Panthers come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Seattle Kraken have won 4 of their last 5 (W-W-W-L-W, most recent first).
Florida Panthers have won 2 of their last 5 (W-L-L-W-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 2 times since 2021: Seattle Kraken 2, Florida Panthers 0. The last meeting, on Jan 23, 2022, finished Florida Panthers 3, Seattle Kraken 5.
Seattle Kraken are 8-9 as favourite and 19-46 as underdog, and 11-30 on the road (27% of 41 games, 2021–2022).
Florida Panthers are 222-137 as favourite and 162-233 as underdog, and 218-171 at home (56% of 389 games, 2011–2022).
| Record | SEA | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 8-9 | 222-137 |
| As underdog | 19-46 | 162-233 |
| At home | 16-25 | 218-171 |
| On the road | 11-30 | 176-209 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →