Buffalo Sabres vs Montreal Canadiens Prediction, Odds & Live Score — Oct 17

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NHL•Sat, Oct 17 • 11:00 PMSilver Edge

BUF

Buffalo Sabres

3-3

MON

Montreal Canadiens

3-2

Win Probability

Moneyline

BUF

+106

51.3% win prob

EV +2.8%

Kalshi

Moneyline

MON

-106

48.7% win prob

EV -2.7%

Kalshi

Analysis

This matchup between the Buffalo Sabres and Montreal Canadiens projects as a coin-flip, with the simulation giving the slightest lean to Buffalo. Nick Suzuki stands out as the game's most likely scorer at 64%, while Tage Thompson projects at 52%—a meaningful gap that reflects Montreal's offensive setup. The decisive factor is total volume: the simulation expects each team to score near 2.8 goals, but only gives a 46% chance the game clears the market's total, suggesting tight defensive execution will be rewarded. AccuScore's record on similarly shaped away-team leans is 49% across 1,832 prior games, a slight headwind. Montreal would need to sustain the offensive pressure Lane Hutson and Suzuki typically generate while keeping Buffalo's top threats contained.

Probability Explorer— drag to explore lines

Puck Line (-1.5/+1.5)BUF -1.5

71-5

BUF Cover

45.7%

no odds at this line

MON Cover

54.3%

no odds at this line

Total (Over/Under)O/U 5.5

0.56.2512

Over Cover

46.4%

no odds at this line

Under Cover

53.6%

no odds at this line

Player Props

MON BUF

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Odds Comparison

Moneyline

Book	MON	EV	BUF	EV
Kalshi ↗	-106	-2.7%	+106	+2.8%

Where to Bet

silver

BUF ML+2.8% EV

Win probability: 51.3%

Kalshi

+106Bet →

AccuScore's simulation makes Buffalo Sabres 51% to beat Montreal Canadiens (49%).

Projection updated Oct 14, 7:35 AM ET

Who will win Buffalo Sabres vs Montreal Canadiens?

AccuScore's simulation makes Buffalo Sabres the more likely winner at 51%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.

Will Montreal Canadiens beat Buffalo Sabres?

AccuScore's simulation gives Montreal Canadiens a 49% chance of beating Buffalo Sabres, against 51% for Buffalo Sabres. Montreal Canadiens are at home but the underdog on these numbers.

Form, head-to-head and betting trends

How Buffalo Sabres and Montreal Canadiens come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.

Recent form

Buffalo SabresLWLLW

Oct 13at Montreal CanadiensL 3–4
Oct 12vs Florida PanthersW 5–3
Oct 10vs Utah MammothL 1–4
Oct 8vs Dallas StarsL 0–4
Oct 6vs Minnesota WildW 3–2

Buffalo Sabres have won 2 of their last 5 (L-W-L-L-W, most recent first).

Montreal CanadiensWWLLL

Oct 13vs Buffalo SabresW 4–3
Oct 10vs Detroit Red WingsW 1–0
Oct 8vs Nashville PredatorsL 2–5
Oct 6vs Carolina HurricanesL 4–6
Oct 3at Pittsburgh PenguinsL 5–6

Montreal Canadiens have won 2 of their last 5 (W-W-L-L-L, most recent first).

Head-to-head

The teams have met 39 times since 2011: Buffalo Sabres 23, Montreal Canadiens 16. The last meeting, on Oct 13, 2026, finished Buffalo Sabres 3, Montreal Canadiens 4.

Oct 13, 2026BUF 3 – 4 MON
Feb 23, 2022BUF 4 – 0 MON
Feb 13, 2022BUF 5 – 3 MON
Nov 26, 2021MON 1 – 4 BUF
Oct 14, 2021MON 1 – 5 BUF

Every Buffalo Sabres vs Montreal Canadiens meeting →

Betting trends

Buffalo Sabres are 76-71 as favourite and 202-380 as underdog, and 127-245 on the road (34% of 372 games, 2011–2022).

Montreal Canadiens are 197-166 as favourite and 163-254 as underdog, and 195-204 at home (49% of 399 games, 2011–2022).

Record	BUF	MON
As favourite	76-71	197-166
As underdog	202-380	163-254
At home	157-214	195-204
On the road	127-245	173-222

Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →