San Jose Sharks
3-2
Detroit Red Wings
1-3
Win Probability
The San Jose Sharks travel to face the Detroit Red Wings in a matchup where the simulation leans clearly toward the home side. Detroit's offensive weapons project as the deciding factor: Alex DeBrincat carries a 57% chance of posting more than 0.5 points, while Lucas Raymond sits at 47%, compared to Will Smith at 34% for the visitors. AccuScore's model has graded 1,738 games shaped like this one and won exactly half of them. For San Jose to pull off the upset, it would need to suppress Detroit's scoring chances and generate offense from its depth—a difficult ask on the road when the Sharks' scoring projections are concentrated in the lower reaches.
| Book | DET | EV | SAN | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -130 | +1.6% | +130 | -2.0% |
NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Detroit Red Wings 58% to beat San Jose Sharks (42%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Detroit Red Wings the more likely winner at 58%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Detroit Red Wings a 58% chance of beating San Jose Sharks, against 42% for San Jose Sharks. Detroit Red Wings are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How San Jose Sharks and Detroit Red Wings come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
San Jose Sharks have won 2 of their last 5 (L-L-W-L-W, most recent first).
Detroit Red Wings have won 1 of their last 5 (L-L-L-W-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 21 times since 2011: San Jose Sharks 12, Detroit Red Wings 9. The last meeting, on Jan 11, 2022, finished Detroit Red Wings 2, San Jose Sharks 3.
San Jose Sharks are 263-205 as favourite and 135-191 as underdog, and 185-218 on the road (46% of 403 games, 2011–2022).
Detroit Red Wings are 143-115 as favourite and 173-320 as underdog, and 180-200 at home (47% of 380 games, 2011–2022).
| Record | SAN | DET |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 263-205 | 143-115 |
| As underdog | 135-191 | 173-320 |
| At home | 218-185 | 180-200 |
| On the road | 185-218 | 141-240 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →