Boston Bruins
4-2
Los Angeles Kings
0-3
Win Probability
The Boston Bruins travel to Los Angeles to face the Kings in a matchup the simulation favors slightly for the visitors. David Pastrnak projects as the game's most likely difference-maker, with a 68% chance of over 0.5 points, while Los Angeles counters with Mats Zuccarello at 49% and Artemi Panarin at 48%. Scoring volume will determine the outcome—the simulation expects a tight, low-event game where either team's ability to generate offense becomes decisive. On similar win-probability shapes across eight prior matchups, the model's favored side has won six times. For the Kings to pull the upset at home, they would need to limit Pastrnak's impact and find secondary scoring beyond their projected point leaders.
| Book | LOS | EV | BOS | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -138 | -9.3% | +122 | +8.6% |
NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Boston Bruins 53% to beat Los Angeles Kings (47%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Boston Bruins the more likely winner at 53%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Los Angeles Kings a 47% chance of beating Boston Bruins, against 53% for Boston Bruins. Los Angeles Kings are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
How Boston Bruins and Los Angeles Kings come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Boston Bruins have won 3 of their last 5 (W-W-W-L-L, most recent first).
Los Angeles Kings have won 0 of their last 5 (L-L-L-L-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 15 times since 2011: Boston Bruins 9, Los Angeles Kings 6. The last meeting, on Mar 7, 2022, finished Los Angeles Kings 3, Boston Bruins 2.
Boston Bruins are 374-249 as favourite and 89-97 as underdog, and 222-189 on the road (54% of 411 games, 2011–2022).
Los Angeles Kings are 231-183 as favourite and 148-204 as underdog, and 209-179 at home (54% of 388 games, 2011–2022).
| Record | BOS | LOS |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 374-249 | 231-183 |
| As underdog | 89-97 | 148-204 |
| At home | 243-166 | 209-179 |
| On the road | 222-189 | 174-217 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →