Edmonton Oilers
5-0
Utah Mammoth
5-2
Win Probability
Edmonton Oilers travel to Utah Mammoth with the simulation favoring the visitors clearly. Connor McDavid has a 32% chance of exceeding two points, while Evan Bouchard projects at 47% to surpass one point—a notable gap that reflects where Edmonton's scoring depth may prove decisive. On Utah's side, Clayton Keller and Nick Schmaltz each sit at 31% to beat one point, showing less concentration of offensive threat. Over 640 similar games at this win probability, the favored side has won 60% of the time. Utah would need to suppress Edmonton's secondary scoring while generating production from multiple sources to pull off the upset at home.
| Book | UTA | EV | EDM | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -113 | -14.8% | +106 | +14.5% |
NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Edmonton Oilers 63% to beat Utah Mammoth (37%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Edmonton Oilers the more likely winner at 63%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Utah Mammoth a 37% chance of beating Edmonton Oilers, against 63% for Edmonton Oilers. Utah Mammoth are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
How Edmonton Oilers and Utah Mammoth come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Edmonton Oilers have won 5 of their last 5 (W-W-W-W-W, most recent first).
Utah Mammoth have won 3 of their last 5 (W-W-L-W-L, most recent first).
Edmonton Oilers are 170-130 as favourite and 184-284 as underdog, and 167-226 on the road (42% of 393 games, 2011–2022).
| Record | EDM | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 170-130 | — |
| As underdog | 184-284 | — |
| At home | 190-196 | — |
| On the road | 167-226 | — |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →