Carolina Hurricanes
6-1
Calgary Flames
1-5
Win Probability
The Carolina Hurricanes travel to face the Calgary Flames in a matchup where the model decisively favours the visitors. Sebastian Aho projects as a strong point contributor at 62%, while Calgary's offensive threats are considerably dimmer—Joel Farabee and Matt Coronato each sit at 37%. The game turns on whether Carolina's depth can overwhelm Calgary's struggling attack; across eight similarly shaped games, AccuScore's favoured side won all eight. For the Flames to pull off the upset, their secondary scorers would need to outperform their projections significantly while containing Aho and Jackson Blake, who carries a 56% chance of recording a point.
| Book | CAL | EV | CAR | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | +223 | -18.3% | -203 | +10.0% |
NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Carolina Hurricanes 80% to beat Calgary Flames (20%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Carolina Hurricanes the more likely winner at 80%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Calgary Flames a 20% chance of beating Carolina Hurricanes, against 80% for Carolina Hurricanes. Calgary Flames are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
How Carolina Hurricanes and Calgary Flames come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Carolina Hurricanes have won 5 of their last 5 (W-W-W-W-W, most recent first).
Calgary Flames have won 1 of their last 5 (W-L-L-L-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 23 times since 2011: Carolina Hurricanes 13, Calgary Flames 10. The last meeting, on Mar 7, 2026, finished Carolina Hurricanes 4, Calgary Flames 5.
Carolina Hurricanes are 435-273 as favourite and 184-266 as underdog, and 278-313 on the road (47% of 591 games, 2011–2026).
Calgary Flames are 303-229 as favourite and 229-335 as underdog, and 299-261 at home (53% of 560 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | CAR | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 435-273 | 303-229 |
| As underdog | 184-266 | 229-335 |
| At home | 354-239 | 299-261 |
| On the road | 278-313 | 243-314 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →