NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
1-2
New York Knicks
0-2
Win Probability
The Philadelphia 76ers visit the New York Knicks in a coin-flip contest that the simulation leans barely toward the home side. Both offences will need to execute in a game where the combined score lands at the margin between over and under with equal probability. On 239 games shaped like this one, AccuScore's model has broken even at exactly 50%. Across eight similar matchups, the favoured side won six times, suggesting modest predictive value in the lean. If Philadelphia can sustain offensive efficiency, the Knicks' narrow advantage disappears; if New York's defence tightens, the 76ers' scoring will have to climb.
| Book | Line | NY | EV | PHI | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| novig | -5.5 | -108 | -13.2% | -120 | +6.6% |
| Book | NY | EV | PHI | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| novig | -186 | -10.5% | +170 | +15.5% |
| Kalshi ↗ | -167 | -8.9% | +174 | +16.4% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| novig | 230.5 | -117 | -11.7% | -115 | +4.9% |
AccuScore's simulation makes New York Knicks 51% to beat Philadelphia 76ers (49%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes New York Knicks the more likely winner at 51%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives New York Knicks a 51% chance of beating Philadelphia 76ers, against 49% for Philadelphia 76ers. New York Knicks are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Philadelphia 76ers and New York Knicks come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
The teams have met 72 times since 2010: Philadelphia 76ers 32, New York Knicks 40. The last meeting, on May 10, 2026, finished New York Knicks 144, Philadelphia 76ers 114.
Philadelphia 76ers are 406-188 as favourite and 199-512 as underdog, and 273-412 on the road (40% of 685 games, 2010–2026).
New York Knicks are 365-196 as favourite and 227-483 as underdog, and 350-319 at home (52% of 669 games, 2010–2026).
| Record | PHI | NY |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 406-188 | 365-196 |
| As underdog | 199-512 | 227-483 |
| At home | 375-308 | 350-319 |
| On the road | 273-412 | 280-391 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NBA odds have moved →