NBA • Wed, Oct 21, 23:30
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
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NBA
AccuScore's simulation makes Minnesota Timberwolves 53% to beat Miami Heat (47%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Minnesota Timberwolves the more likely winner at 53%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Miami Heat a 47% chance of beating Minnesota Timberwolves, against 53% for Minnesota Timberwolves. Miami Heat are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
How Minnesota Timberwolves and Miami Heat come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
The teams have met 31 times since 2010: Minnesota Timberwolves 16, Miami Heat 15. The last meeting, on Jan 6, 2026, finished Miami Heat 94, Minnesota Timberwolves 122.
Minnesota Timberwolves are 344-205 as favourite and 206-505 as underdog, and 252-412 on the road (38% of 664 games, 2010–2026).
Miami Heat are 587-270 as favourite and 207-298 as underdog, and 469-242 at home (66% of 711 games, 2010–2026).
| Record | MIN | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 344-205 | 587-270 |
| As underdog | 206-505 | 207-298 |
| At home | 332-330 | 469-242 |
| On the road | 252-412 | 363-353 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NBA odds have moved →