NBA
Utah Jazz
1-1
Memphis Grizzlies
2-1
Win Probability
The Utah Jazz travel to Memphis to face the Grizzlies in a matchup the model favours slightly for the visitors. AccuScore's simulations project a tight contest that hinges on three-point shooting: Utah's perimeter game will need to stay sharp, while Memphis must keep the Jazz from getting comfortable from distance. Over 1,327 games shaped like this one—where the away side carried a modest lean—the model has hit at exactly 50%. For Memphis to pull off the upset at home, the Grizzlies would need to dominate the boards and force Utah into isolation possessions where the visitors cannot find their rhythm.
| Book | Line | MEM | EV | UT | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| novig | +1.5 | -115 | -7.0% | -117 | +0.0% |
| Book | MEM | EV | UT | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | +113 | -3.1% | -113 | +2.7% |
| novig | +104 | -5.1% | -113 | +2.7% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| novig | 243.5 | -120 | -11.4% | -115 | +4.1% |
AccuScore's simulation makes Utah Jazz 56% to beat Memphis Grizzlies (44%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Utah Jazz the more likely winner at 56%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Memphis Grizzlies a 44% chance of beating Utah Jazz, against 56% for Utah Jazz. Memphis Grizzlies are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
How Utah Jazz and Memphis Grizzlies come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
The teams have met 62 times since 2010: Utah Jazz 31, Memphis Grizzlies 31. The last meeting, on Apr 10, 2026, finished Memphis Grizzlies 101, Utah Jazz 147.
Utah Jazz are 419-188 as favourite and 195-465 as underdog, and 260-408 on the road (39% of 668 games, 2010–2026).
Memphis Grizzlies are 436-193 as favourite and 227-435 as underdog, and 406-272 at home (60% of 678 games, 2010–2026).
| Record | UT | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 419-188 | 436-193 |
| As underdog | 195-465 | 227-435 |
| At home | 385-279 | 406-272 |
| On the road | 260-408 | 293-382 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NBA odds have moved →