Anaheim Ducks
4-2
New York Rangers
6-3
Win Probability
This matchup between the Anaheim Ducks and New York Rangers shapes up as a coin-flip, with the simulation barely favouring the home side. Alexis Lafreniere carries a 42% chance of exceeding a point, while Leo Carlsson projects at 29% — a meaningful gap that reflects where New York's offensive threat concentrates. The game hinges on whether scoring stays contained; the model projects a tie but sees only a 42% probability the combined total clears the market line. On games shaped like this one, AccuScore's model has won 49% of the time over 2,444 graded matchups. For Anaheim to steal this one on the road, their secondary scorers will need to match the Rangers' depth.
| Book | NYR | EV | ANA | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -135 | -5.7% | +133 | +7.2% |
NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes New York Rangers 51% to beat Anaheim Ducks (49%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes New York Rangers the more likely winner at 51%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives New York Rangers a 51% chance of beating Anaheim Ducks, against 49% for Anaheim Ducks. New York Rangers are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Anaheim Ducks and New York Rangers come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Anaheim Ducks have won 3 of their last 5 (L-W-W-L-W, most recent first).
New York Rangers have won 3 of their last 5 (L-W-W-L-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 24 times since 2011: Anaheim Ducks 8, New York Rangers 16. The last meeting, on Jan 19, 2026, finished New York Rangers 3, Anaheim Ducks 5.
Anaheim Ducks are 244-168 as favourite and 270-434 as underdog, and 233-330 on the road (41% of 563 games, 2011–2026).
New York Rangers are 406-258 as favourite and 213-274 as underdog, and 332-261 at home (56% of 593 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | ANA | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 244-168 | 406-258 |
| As underdog | 270-434 | 213-274 |
| At home | 288-283 | 332-261 |
| On the road | 233-330 | 301-287 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →