Colorado Avalanche vs Philadelphia Flyers Prediction, Odds & Live Score — Oct 19

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NHL•Mon, Oct 19 • 11:00 PMSilver Edge

COL

Colorado Avalanche

4-2

PHI

Philadelphia Flyers

0-6

Win Probability

Moneyline

COL

-217

69.7% win prob

EV +0.9%

Kalshi

Moneyline

PHI

+199

30.4% win prob

EV -4.6%

Kalshi

Analysis

The Colorado Avalanche travel to face the Philadelphia Flyers in a matchup where the simulation decisively favors the visitors. Nathan MacKinnon projects at 68% to record more than 0.5 points, while Martin Necas sits at 54%—a gap that reflects where Colorado's scoring depth is expected to matter most. The Flyers' best scoring chance comes through Travis Konecny at 41%, a significant drop-off that defines the mismatch. Over similar win-probability shapes across 1,071 graded games, AccuScore's model has returned 59%. For Philadelphia to upset these projections, it would need to compress that scoring gap and force the visitors into an uncharacteristically quiet night.

Probability Explorer— drag to explore lines

Puck Line (-1.5/+1.5)COL -1.5

6.50.75-5

COL Cover

45.1%

no odds at this line

PHI Cover

54.9%

no odds at this line

Total (Over/Under)O/U 5.5

0.55.7511

Over Cover

42.7%

no odds at this line

Under Cover

57.3%

no odds at this line

Player Props

PHI COL

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Odds Comparison

Moneyline

Book	PHI	EV	COL	EV
Kalshi ↗	+199	-4.6%	-217	+0.9%

Where to Bet

silver

COL ML+0.9% EV

Win probability: 69.7%

Kalshi

-217Bet →

AccuScore's simulation makes Colorado Avalanche 70% to beat Philadelphia Flyers (30%).

Projection updated Oct 16, 9:21 AM ET

Who will win Colorado Avalanche vs Philadelphia Flyers?

AccuScore's simulation makes Colorado Avalanche the more likely winner at 70%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.

Will Philadelphia Flyers beat Colorado Avalanche?

AccuScore's simulation gives Philadelphia Flyers a 30% chance of beating Colorado Avalanche, against 70% for Colorado Avalanche. Philadelphia Flyers are at home but the underdog on these numbers.

Form, head-to-head and betting trends

How Colorado Avalanche and Philadelphia Flyers come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.

Recent form

Colorado AvalancheLWLWL

Oct 14vs Dallas StarsL 2–3
Oct 13at Dallas StarsW 3–2
Oct 10vs Toronto Maple LeafsL 3–6
Oct 8at Calgary FlamesW 7–3
Oct 7at Winnipeg JetsL 2–3

Colorado Avalanche have won 2 of their last 5 (L-W-L-W-L, most recent first).

Philadelphia FlyersLLLLL

Oct 15at Detroit Red WingsL 1–2
Oct 13vs Seattle KrakenL 2–3
Oct 11vs Carolina HurricanesL 1–4
Oct 10at Boston BruinsL 1–5
Oct 8at Ottawa SenatorsL 1–2

Philadelphia Flyers have won 0 of their last 5 (L-L-L-L-L, most recent first).

Head-to-head

The teams have met 23 times since 2011: Colorado Avalanche 14, Philadelphia Flyers 9. The last meeting, on Jan 23, 2026, finished Philadelphia Flyers 7, Colorado Avalanche 3.

Jan 23, 2026PHI 7 – 3 COL
Dec 7, 2025COL 3 – 2 PHI
Feb 2, 2025PHI 0 – 2 COL
Nov 18, 2024COL 3 – 2 PHI
Jan 20, 2024COL 7 – 4 PHI

Every Colorado Avalanche vs Philadelphia Flyers meeting →

Betting trends

Colorado Avalanche are 439-251 as favourite and 190-273 as underdog, and 294-293 on the road (50% of 587 games, 2011–2026).

Philadelphia Flyers are 237-181 as favourite and 272-419 as underdog, and 287-278 at home (51% of 565 games, 2011–2026).

Record	COL	PHI
As favourite	439-251	237-181
As underdog	190-273	272-419
At home	344-243	287-278
On the road	294-293	230-332

Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →