NHL • Mon, Oct 19, 23:30
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
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NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Toronto Maple Leafs 72% to beat San Jose Sharks (28%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Toronto Maple Leafs the more likely winner at 72%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Toronto Maple Leafs a 72% chance of beating San Jose Sharks, against 28% for San Jose Sharks. Toronto Maple Leafs are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How San Jose Sharks and Toronto Maple Leafs come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
San Jose Sharks have won 2 of their last 5 (W-L-L-W-L, most recent first).
Toronto Maple Leafs have won 2 of their last 5 (L-L-W-L-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 23 times since 2012: San Jose Sharks 15, Toronto Maple Leafs 8. The last meeting, on Apr 2, 2026, finished Toronto Maple Leafs 1, San Jose Sharks 4.
San Jose Sharks are 276-225 as favourite and 226-397 as underdog, and 235-335 on the road (41% of 570 games, 2011–2026).
Toronto Maple Leafs are 386-277 as favourite and 194-266 as underdog, and 318-259 at home (55% of 577 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | SAN | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 276-225 | 386-277 |
| As underdog | 226-397 | 194-266 |
| At home | 274-297 | 318-259 |
| On the road | 235-335 | 274-298 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →