MLB • Sun, Oct 18, 00:00
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
Free members get the daily Gold Pick delivered by email.
MLB
AccuScore's simulation makes Tampa Bay Rays 61% to beat Cleveland Guardians (39%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Tampa Bay Rays the more likely winner at 61%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Cleveland Guardians a 39% chance of beating Tampa Bay Rays, against 61% for Tampa Bay Rays. Cleveland Guardians are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
How Tampa Bay Rays and Cleveland Guardians come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Tampa Bay Rays have won 3 of their last 5 (L-W-L-W-W, most recent first).
Cleveland Guardians have won 4 of their last 5 (W-L-W-W-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 101 times since 2010: Tampa Bay Rays 55, Cleveland Guardians 46. The last meeting, on Oct 15, 2026, finished Tampa Bay Rays 2, Cleveland Guardians 3.
Tampa Bay Rays are 817-639 as favourite and 470-502 as underdog, and 623-602 on the road (51% of 1225 games, 2010–2026).
Cleveland Guardians are 824-553 as favourite and 435-572 as underdog, and 669-534 at home (56% of 1203 games, 2010–2026).
| Record | TB | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 817-639 | 824-553 |
| As underdog | 470-502 | 435-572 |
| At home | 678-555 | 669-534 |
| On the road | 623-602 | 610-605 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the MLB odds have moved →