Colorado Avalanche
5-2
New Jersey Devils
4-3
Win Probability
Colorado Avalanche visit New Jersey Devils in a matchup the simulation favors strongly to the visitors. Nathan MacKinnon projects at 67% to record more than half a point, while Jack Hughes sits at 61%—a narrow gap that understates Colorado's overall advantage. The game turns on depth scoring: Martin Necas has a 53% chance to contribute, against Jesper Bratt at 48%. AccuScore's model has returned 59% on 1071 games shaped like this one, a modest but consistent lean. New Jersey would need to force Colorado into an uncharacteristically low-scoring result to upset the projection.
| Book | NJ | EV | COL | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | +108 | -15.5% | -111 | +13.5% |
NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Colorado Avalanche 67% to beat New Jersey Devils (33%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Colorado Avalanche the more likely winner at 67%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives New Jersey Devils a 33% chance of beating Colorado Avalanche, against 67% for Colorado Avalanche. New Jersey Devils are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
How Colorado Avalanche and New Jersey Devils come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Colorado Avalanche have won 3 of their last 5 (W-L-W-L-W, most recent first).
New Jersey Devils have won 3 of their last 5 (W-W-L-W-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 24 times since 2011: Colorado Avalanche 15, New Jersey Devils 9. The last meeting, on Oct 28, 2025, finished New Jersey Devils 4, Colorado Avalanche 8.
Colorado Avalanche are 440-251 as favourite and 190-273 as underdog, and 294-293 on the road (50% of 587 games, 2011–2026).
New Jersey Devils are 252-194 as favourite and 245-402 as underdog, and 262-296 at home (47% of 558 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | COL | NJ |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 440-251 | 252-194 |
| As underdog | 190-273 | 245-402 |
| At home | 345-243 | 262-296 |
| On the road | 294-293 | 248-315 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →