Anaheim Ducks
4-3
New York Islanders
3-3
Win Probability
The New York Islanders host the Anaheim Ducks in a tight matchup where the simulation favours the home side slightly. Leo Carlsson projects as the visiting team's most likely contributor, with a 59% chance of registering more than 0.5 points, while Matthew Schaefer leads the hosts at 57%. The game hinges on whether the Ducks can generate secondary scoring; Beckett Sennecke sits at 43% to reach 0.5 points, a meaningful drop-off that reflects depth concerns for the visitors. On similar matchups over 2445 graded games, AccuScore's model has won 49% of the time. For Anaheim to pull off the upset, it will need production beyond Carlsson against an Islanders side that carries the slighter advantage.
| Book | NYI | EV | ANA | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -127 | +1.0% | +127 | -1.3% |
NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes New York Islanders 57% to beat Anaheim Ducks (43%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes New York Islanders the more likely winner at 57%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives New York Islanders a 57% chance of beating Anaheim Ducks, against 43% for Anaheim Ducks. New York Islanders are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Anaheim Ducks and New York Islanders come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Anaheim Ducks have won 2 of their last 5 (L-L-W-W-L, most recent first).
New York Islanders have won 2 of their last 5 (L-W-L-W-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 23 times since 2012: Anaheim Ducks 10, New York Islanders 13. The last meeting, on Mar 4, 2026, finished New York Islanders 1, Anaheim Ducks 5.
Anaheim Ducks are 244-168 as favourite and 270-434 as underdog, and 233-330 on the road (41% of 563 games, 2011–2026).
New York Islanders are 308-226 as favourite and 256-337 as underdog, and 314-263 at home (54% of 577 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | ANA | NYI |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 244-168 | 308-226 |
| As underdog | 270-434 | 256-337 |
| At home | 288-284 | 314-263 |
| On the road | 233-330 | 263-314 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →