NHL
Winnipeg Jets
4-1
St. Louis Blues
3-3
Win Probability
Winnipeg Jets travel to St. Louis Blues in a matchup where the simulation leans slightly toward the visiting side. Mark Scheifele projects at 61% to record more than 0.5 points, while Dylan Holloway sits at 53%—a narrow margin that reflects how tightly matched these offences appear in the model's view. The game hinges on secondary scoring; Kyle Connor at 56% and Connor McMichael at 46% suggest Winnipeg's depth will be the deciding factor. AccuScore's record on games shaped like this one stands at 49% across 2,681 prior matchups with similar win probabilities and configuration. St. Louis would need to steal depth production across its lineup to overcome that projected shortfall.
| Book | STL | EV | WIN | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -135 | -10.0% | +135 | +13.6% |
AccuScore's simulation makes Winnipeg Jets 54% to beat St. Louis Blues (46%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Winnipeg Jets the more likely winner at 54%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives St. Louis Blues a 46% chance of beating Winnipeg Jets, against 54% for Winnipeg Jets. St. Louis Blues are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
How Winnipeg Jets and St. Louis Blues come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Winnipeg Jets have won 3 of their last 5 (L-W-L-W-W, most recent first).
St. Louis Blues have won 2 of their last 5 (L-W-W-L-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 59 times since 2012: Winnipeg Jets 36, St. Louis Blues 23. The last meeting, on Apr 9, 2026, finished Winnipeg Jets 3, St. Louis Blues 2.
Winnipeg Jets are 349-229 as favourite and 238-297 as underdog, and 270-298 on the road (48% of 568 games, 2011–2026).
St. Louis Blues are 382-271 as favourite and 248-260 as underdog, and 335-253 at home (57% of 588 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | WIN | STL |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 349-229 | 382-271 |
| As underdog | 238-297 | 248-260 |
| At home | 329-243 | 335-253 |
| On the road | 270-298 | 304-290 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →