Minnesota Wild vs Edmonton Oilers Prediction, Odds & Live Score — Oct 20

← Today's Edges

NHL•Wed, Oct 21 • 1:00 AMSilver Edge

MIN

Minnesota Wild

5-2

EDM

Edmonton Oilers

5-1

Win Probability

Moneyline

MIN

-100

34.7% win prob

EV -15.3%

Kalshi

Moneyline

EDM

+106

65.3% win prob

EV +17.3%

Kalshi

Analysis

Edmonton Oilers host Minnesota Wild in a matchup where the simulation favours the home side clearly. Connor McDavid has a 78% chance of recording more than 0.5 points, while Quinn Hughes sits at 69%. The game turns on Edmonton's star power—Draisaitl projects at 70% for a point, against a Wild attack led by Kaprizov at 63%—and whether Minnesota can generate enough offense on the road to keep pace. AccuScore's model has won 59% of similar home-favoured games over its history. For Minnesota to pull the upset, their depth scorers would need to outpace Edmonton's secondary production.

Probability Explorer— drag to explore lines

Puck Line (-1.5/+1.5)MIN -1.5

70.25-6.5

MIN Cover

38.7%

no odds at this line

EDM Cover

61.3%

no odds at this line

Total (Over/Under)O/U 7

0.57.7515

Over Cover

38.7%

no odds at this line

Under Cover

41.6%

no odds at this line

Push 19.7% — stake returned if it lands exactly on the total

Player Props

EDM MIN

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Odds Comparison

Moneyline

Book	EDM	EV	MIN	EV
Kalshi ↗	+106	+17.3%	-100	-15.3%

Where to Bet

silver

EDM ML+17.3% EV

Win probability: 65.3%

Kalshi

+106Bet →

AccuScore's simulation makes Edmonton Oilers 65% to beat Minnesota Wild (35%).

Projection updated Oct 17, 8:41 AM ET

Who will win Minnesota Wild vs Edmonton Oilers?

AccuScore's simulation makes Edmonton Oilers the more likely winner at 65%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.

Will Edmonton Oilers beat Minnesota Wild?

AccuScore's simulation gives Edmonton Oilers a 65% chance of beating Minnesota Wild, against 35% for Minnesota Wild. Edmonton Oilers are at home and favoured on these numbers.

Form, head-to-head and betting trends

How Minnesota Wild and Edmonton Oilers come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.

Recent form

Minnesota WildWLWWL

Oct 15vs St. Louis BluesW 5–4
Oct 13at Winnipeg JetsL 2–5
Oct 12vs Vegas Golden KnightsW 4–2
Oct 10at Florida PanthersW 4–1
Oct 8at Tampa Bay LightningL 2–3

Minnesota Wild have won 3 of their last 5 (W-L-W-W-L, most recent first).

Edmonton OilersLWWWW

Oct 15vs Utah MammothL 2–4
Oct 13at Los Angeles KingsW 4–1
Oct 10at San Jose SharksW 3–1
Oct 7at Anaheim DucksW 5–2
Oct 3vs Seattle KrakenW 3–1

Edmonton Oilers have won 4 of their last 5 (L-W-W-W-W, most recent first).

Head-to-head

The teams have met 42 times since 2011: Minnesota Wild 30, Edmonton Oilers 12. The last meeting, on Jan 31, 2026, finished Minnesota Wild 7, Edmonton Oilers 3.

Jan 31, 2026MIN 7 – 3 EDM
Dec 20, 2025EDM 2 – 5 MIN
Dec 2, 2025MIN 1 – 0 EDM
Jan 15, 2025EDM 5 – 3 MIN
Dec 12, 2024EDM 7 – 1 MIN

Every Minnesota Wild vs Edmonton Oilers meeting →

Betting trends

Minnesota Wild are 382-246 as favourite and 208-283 as underdog, and 280-295 on the road (49% of 575 games, 2011–2026).

Edmonton Oilers are 351-255 as favourite and 228-323 as underdog, and 309-275 at home (53% of 584 games, 2011–2026).

Record	MIN	EDM
As favourite	382-246	351-255
As underdog	208-283	228-323
At home	323-247	309-275
On the road	280-295	279-316

Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →