Detroit Red Wings
2-3
Seattle Kraken
5-2
Win Probability
When the Detroit Red Wings visit the Seattle Kraken, the simulation barely favors the home side—this is essentially a coin flip. Dylan Larkin projects at 49% to record a point, while Viktor Arvidsson sits at 50%, meaning Detroit's scoring depth will determine whether the visitors can keep pace. On Seattle's side, Vince Dunn has a 46% chance to contribute offensively. AccuScore's historical record on games shaped this way—slight home lean with even win probability—stands at 49% over 2,445 graded matchups. The Kraken need their secondary scoring to emerge; if Larkin and Arvidsson both stay off the sheet, Detroit's path to victory widens considerably.
| Book | SEA | EV | DET | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -106 | -0.2% | +104 | -0.2% |
NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Seattle Kraken 51% to beat Detroit Red Wings (49%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Seattle Kraken the more likely winner at 51%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Seattle Kraken a 51% chance of beating Detroit Red Wings, against 49% for Detroit Red Wings. Seattle Kraken are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Detroit Red Wings and Seattle Kraken come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Detroit Red Wings have won 2 of their last 5 (W-L-L-L-W, most recent first).
Seattle Kraken have won 3 of their last 5 (L-W-W-W-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 11 times since 2021: Detroit Red Wings 6, Seattle Kraken 5. The last meeting, on Oct 9, 2026, finished Seattle Kraken 6, Detroit Red Wings 3.
Detroit Red Wings are 204-170 as favourite and 263-439 as underdog, and 212-334 on the road (39% of 546 games, 2011–2026).
Seattle Kraken are 71-55 as favourite and 113-185 as underdog, and 95-118 at home (45% of 213 games, 2021–2026).
| Record | DET | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 204-170 | 71-55 |
| As underdog | 263-439 | 113-185 |
| At home | 267-283 | 95-118 |
| On the road | 212-334 | 94-125 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →