NBA
Sacramento Kings
0-5
Los Angeles Clippers
2-1
Win Probability
This matchup between the Sacramento Kings and Los Angeles Clippers at Crypto.com Arena is essentially a coin flip, with the simulation barely favoring the home side. The game projects as one of the tightest contests on the board, turning entirely on whether either offense can sustain efficiency in a battle that figures to be decided by single digits. Across eight similar games in AccuScore's record, the model's lean has gone 6-2, though in matchups shaped this way the historical win rate sits at exactly 50%. For the Kings to steal this one on the road, their role players would need to outperform projections while Los Angeles struggles to convert in the half-court—a tall order against a Clippers team playing at home.
| Book | Line | LAC | EV | SAC | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| novig | -4.5 | -104 | -12.9% | -104 | +11.0% |
| Book | LAC | EV | SAC | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -160 | -8.1% | +160 | +12.8% |
| novig | -167 | -8.8% | +156 | +11.8% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| novig | 225.5 | -9900 | -23.4% | -9900 | -26.1% |
AccuScore's simulation makes Los Angeles Clippers 52% to beat Sacramento Kings (48%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Los Angeles Clippers the more likely winner at 52%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Los Angeles Clippers a 52% chance of beating Sacramento Kings, against 48% for Sacramento Kings. Los Angeles Clippers are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Sacramento Kings and Los Angeles Clippers come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
The teams have met 60 times since 2010: Sacramento Kings 15, Los Angeles Clippers 45. The last meeting, on Apr 5, 2026, finished Los Angeles Clippers 138, Sacramento Kings 109.
Sacramento Kings are 229-166 as favourite and 246-579 as underdog, and 225-417 on the road (35% of 642 games, 2010–2026).
Los Angeles Clippers are 604-253 as favourite and 162-292 as underdog, and 452-241 at home (65% of 693 games, 2010–2026).
| Record | SAC | LAC |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 229-166 | 604-253 |
| As underdog | 246-579 | 162-292 |
| At home | 287-356 | 452-241 |
| On the road | 225-417 | 351-339 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NBA odds have moved →