MLB • Tue, Oct 20, 00:00
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
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MLB
AccuScore's simulation makes Tampa Bay Rays 52% to beat Cleveland Guardians (48%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Tampa Bay Rays the more likely winner at 52%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Tampa Bay Rays a 52% chance of beating Cleveland Guardians, against 48% for Cleveland Guardians. Tampa Bay Rays are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Cleveland Guardians and Tampa Bay Rays come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Cleveland Guardians have won 3 of their last 5 (L-W-L-W-W, most recent first).
Tampa Bay Rays have won 3 of their last 5 (W-L-W-L-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 102 times since 2010: Cleveland Guardians 46, Tampa Bay Rays 56. The last meeting, on Oct 17, 2026, finished Tampa Bay Rays 7, Cleveland Guardians 3.
Cleveland Guardians are 824-553 as favourite and 435-573 as underdog, and 610-605 on the road (50% of 1215 games, 2010–2026).
Tampa Bay Rays are 818-639 as favourite and 470-502 as underdog, and 678-555 at home (55% of 1233 games, 2010–2026).
| Record | CLE | TB |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 824-553 | 818-639 |
| As underdog | 435-573 | 470-502 |
| At home | 669-535 | 678-555 |
| On the road | 610-605 | 624-602 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the MLB odds have moved →