Vegas Golden Knights vs St. Louis Blues Prediction, Odds & Live Score — Oct 22

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NHL•Fri, Oct 23 • 12:00 AMSilver Edge

VGK

Vegas Golden Knights

8-2

STL

St. Louis Blues

3-4

Win Probability

Moneyline

VGK

-122

59.6% win prob

EV +4.2%

Kalshi

Moneyline

STL

+130

40.4% win prob

EV -3.5%

Kalshi

Analysis

The Vegas Golden Knights travel to St. Louis to face the Blues in a matchup where the simulation clearly favours the visitors. Jack Eichel projects to surpass 0.5 points in 68% of outcomes, while Dylan Holloway reaches that mark in just 51% of simulations—a gap that encapsulates Vegas's offensive advantage. The contest turns on whether St. Louis can sustain possession and generate scoring chances, since the projected margin remains tight despite the model's lean toward Vegas. On similar win-probability shapes across eight prior games, the favoured side won five times. The Blues would need to control play and keep Mitch Marner, who has a 60% chance of a point, off the scoresheet to pull off the upset.

Probability Explorer— drag to explore lines

Puck Line (-1.5/+1.5)VGK -1.5

70.5-6

VGK Cover

39.8%

no odds at this line

STL Cover

60.2%

no odds at this line

Total (Over/Under)O/U 6

0.56.2512

Over Cover

40.0%

no odds at this line

Under Cover

48.1%

no odds at this line

Push 11.9% — stake returned if it lands exactly on the total

Player Props

STL VGK

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Odds Comparison

Moneyline

Book	STL	EV	VGK	EV
Kalshi ↗	+130	-3.5%	-122	+4.2%

Where to Bet

silver

VGK ML+4.2% EV

Win probability: 59.6%

Kalshi

-122Bet →

AccuScore's simulation makes Vegas Golden Knights 60% to beat St. Louis Blues (40%).

Projection updated Oct 19, 4:25 PM ET

Who will win Vegas Golden Knights vs St. Louis Blues?

AccuScore's simulation makes Vegas Golden Knights the more likely winner at 60%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.

Will St. Louis Blues beat Vegas Golden Knights?

AccuScore's simulation gives St. Louis Blues a 40% chance of beating Vegas Golden Knights, against 60% for Vegas Golden Knights. St. Louis Blues are at home but the underdog on these numbers.

Form, head-to-head and betting trends

How Vegas Golden Knights and St. Louis Blues come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.

Recent form

Vegas Golden KnightsWWWLW

Oct 17vs Pittsburgh PenguinsW 6–2
Oct 15vs Calgary FlamesW 6–2
Oct 13at Nashville PredatorsW 5–2
Oct 12at Minnesota WildL 2–4
Oct 10vs Los Angeles KingsW 2–1

Vegas Golden Knights have won 4 of their last 5 (W-W-W-L-W, most recent first).

St. Louis BluesLLWWL

Oct 17at Nashville PredatorsL 2–5
Oct 15at Minnesota WildL 4–5
Oct 13at Ottawa SenatorsW 7–2
Oct 10vs Columbus Blue JacketsW 5–3
Oct 8vs San Jose SharksL 2–3

St. Louis Blues have won 2 of their last 5 (L-L-W-W-L, most recent first).

Head-to-head

The teams have met 33 times since 2017: Vegas Golden Knights 20, St. Louis Blues 13. The last meeting, on Jan 10, 2026, finished St. Louis Blues 2, Vegas Golden Knights 4.

Jan 10, 2026STL 2 – 4 VGK
Jan 2, 2026VGK 3 – 4 STL
Nov 15, 2025VGK 4 – 1 STL
Jan 23, 2025VGK 4 – 2 STL
Jan 20, 2025STL 5 – 4 VGK

Every Vegas Golden Knights vs St. Louis Blues meeting →

Betting trends

Vegas Golden Knights are 371-225 as favourite and 107-119 as underdog, and 220-195 on the road (53% of 415 games, 2017–2026).

St. Louis Blues are 382-272 as favourite and 248-260 as underdog, and 335-253 at home (57% of 588 games, 2011–2026).

Record	VGK	STL
As favourite	371-225	382-272
As underdog	107-119	248-260
At home	266-157	335-253
On the road	220-195	304-291

Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →