Minnesota Wild vs Calgary Flames Prediction, Odds & Live Score — Oct 22

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NHL•Fri, Oct 23 • 1:00 AMSilver Edge

MIN

Minnesota Wild

6-2

CAL

Calgary Flames

2-6

Win Probability

Moneyline

MIN

-170

57.7% win prob

EV -4.2%

Kalshi

Moneyline

CAL

+178

42.3% win prob

EV +8.8%

Kalshi

Analysis

The Minnesota Wild travel to Calgary to face the Flames in a matchup where the simulation clearly favors the visitors. Quinn Hughes projects at 65% to post more than 0.5 points, while Kirill Kaprizov sits at 60%, giving Minnesota multiple scoring threats against a Calgary side where Joel Farabee leads the way at just 42%. The game turns on whether Calgary can generate secondary scoring; Morgan Frost checks in at only 30%. On games shaped like this one—away teams favored by a modest margin—AccuScore's model won 5 of 8 comparable matchups. For Calgary to pull the upset, it would need contributions beyond Farabee.

Probability Explorer— drag to explore lines

Puck Line (-1.5/+1.5)MIN -1.5

7.51.25-5

MIN Cover

44.9%

no odds at this line

CAL Cover

55.1%

no odds at this line

Total (Over/Under)O/U 5.5

0.56.2512

Over Cover

42.2%

no odds at this line

Under Cover

57.8%

no odds at this line

Player Props

CAL MIN

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Odds Comparison

Moneyline

Book	CAL	EV	MIN	EV
Kalshi ↗	+178	+8.8%	-170	-4.2%

Where to Bet

silver

CAL ML+8.8% EV

Win probability: 42.3%

Kalshi

+178Bet →

AccuScore's simulation makes Minnesota Wild 58% to beat Calgary Flames (42%).

Projection updated Oct 19, 4:25 PM ET

Who will win Minnesota Wild vs Calgary Flames?

AccuScore's simulation makes Minnesota Wild the more likely winner at 58%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.

Will Calgary Flames beat Minnesota Wild?

AccuScore's simulation gives Calgary Flames a 42% chance of beating Minnesota Wild, against 58% for Minnesota Wild. Calgary Flames are at home but the underdog on these numbers.

Form, head-to-head and betting trends

How Minnesota Wild and Calgary Flames come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.

Recent form

Minnesota WildWWLWW

Oct 18vs Columbus Blue JacketsW 2–1
Oct 15vs St. Louis BluesW 5–4
Oct 13at Winnipeg JetsL 2–5
Oct 12vs Vegas Golden KnightsW 4–2
Oct 10at Florida PanthersW 4–1

Minnesota Wild have won 4 of their last 5 (W-W-L-W-W, most recent first).

Calgary FlamesWLWLL

Oct 18vs Carolina HurricanesW 3–2
Oct 15at Vegas Golden KnightsL 2–6
Oct 13at Anaheim DucksW 4–2
Oct 10vs Anaheim DucksL 2–4
Oct 8vs Colorado AvalancheL 3–7

Calgary Flames have won 2 of their last 5 (W-L-W-L-L, most recent first).

Head-to-head

The teams have met 43 times since 2011: Minnesota Wild 20, Calgary Flames 23. The last meeting, on Jan 29, 2026, finished Calgary Flames 1, Minnesota Wild 4.

Jan 29, 2026CAL 1 – 4 MIN
Dec 4, 2025MIN 1 – 4 CAL
Nov 9, 2025CAL 0 – 2 MIN
Apr 11, 2025MIN 2 – 4 CAL
Jan 25, 2025CAL 5 – 4 MIN

Every Minnesota Wild vs Calgary Flames meeting →

Betting trends

Minnesota Wild are 383-246 as favourite and 208-283 as underdog, and 280-295 on the road (49% of 575 games, 2011–2026).

Calgary Flames are 303-229 as favourite and 230-336 as underdog, and 300-261 at home (53% of 561 games, 2011–2026).

Record	MIN	CAL
As favourite	383-246	303-229
As underdog	208-283	230-336
At home	324-247	300-261
On the road	280-295	243-315

Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →