Carolina Hurricanes
7-2
Edmonton Oilers
6-1
Win Probability
Edmonton Oilers host Carolina Hurricanes in a matchup where the simulation leans clearly toward the home side. Leon Draisaitl projects a 50% chance of exceeding one point, while Sebastian Aho sits at 35%—a gap that reflects Edmonton's offensive advantage. The game turns on whether Carolina's travelling roster can generate secondary scoring; Jackson Blake and Taylor Hall each carry just a 19-20% projection for multiple points. AccuScore's historical record on games shaped this way stands at 49% across 2,446 instances, a cautionary note despite the current lean. For the Hurricanes to pull the upset, they would need depth contributors beyond their top line to break through.
| Book | EDM | EV | CAR | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | +127 | +15.8% | -122 | -11.8% |
NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Edmonton Oilers 58% to beat Carolina Hurricanes (42%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Edmonton Oilers the more likely winner at 58%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Edmonton Oilers a 58% chance of beating Carolina Hurricanes, against 42% for Carolina Hurricanes. Edmonton Oilers are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Carolina Hurricanes and Edmonton Oilers come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Carolina Hurricanes have won 4 of their last 5 (L-W-W-W-W, most recent first).
Edmonton Oilers have won 4 of their last 5 (W-L-W-W-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 23 times since 2011: Carolina Hurricanes 14, Edmonton Oilers 9. The last meeting, on Mar 6, 2026, finished Carolina Hurricanes 6, Edmonton Oilers 3.
Carolina Hurricanes are 436-274 as favourite and 184-266 as underdog, and 279-314 on the road (47% of 593 games, 2011–2026).
Edmonton Oilers are 351-255 as favourite and 229-323 as underdog, and 309-275 at home (53% of 584 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | CAR | EDM |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 436-274 | 351-255 |
| As underdog | 184-266 | 229-323 |
| At home | 354-239 | 309-275 |
| On the road | 279-314 | 280-316 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →