Utah Mammoth
6-3
Seattle Kraken
5-3
Win Probability
Utah Mammoth travel to Seattle to face the Kraken in a matchup where the simulation clearly favours the visitors. Clayton Keller projects to clear 0.5 points in 64% of outcomes, while Nick Schmaltz sits at 51%—a meaningful gap over Seattle's top contributors, where Jordan Eberle reaches that mark in just 42% of cases. The game turns on Utah's ability to convert its offensive chances; Seattle would need to tighten that gap significantly and steal possessions to pull the upset. AccuScore's model has won 59% of calls on away-team favourites in this win-probability range across 1,072 graded games, though seven of eight comparable situations from other matchups went the favoured way.
| Book | SEA | EV | UTA | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | +150 | -9.6% | -138 | +8.4% |
NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Utah Mammoth 68% to beat Seattle Kraken (32%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Utah Mammoth the more likely winner at 68%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Seattle Kraken a 32% chance of beating Utah Mammoth, against 68% for Utah Mammoth. Seattle Kraken are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
How Utah Mammoth and Seattle Kraken come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Utah Mammoth have won 3 of their last 5 (L-W-W-W-L, most recent first).
Seattle Kraken have won 3 of their last 5 (L-L-W-W-W, most recent first).
Seattle Kraken are 71-55 as favourite and 113-186 as underdog, and 95-118 at home (45% of 213 games, 2021–2026).
| Record | UTA | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | — | 71-55 |
| As underdog | — | 113-186 |
| At home | — | 95-118 |
| On the road | — | 94-126 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →