Detroit Red Wings
3-3
Vancouver Canucks
2-7
Win Probability
The Detroit Red Wings travel to Vancouver to face a Canucks team struggling at 2-7, and the simulation leans clearly toward the visitors. Alex DeBrincat projects at 58% to record more than 0.5 points, while Elias Pettersson sits at 49%—a gap that mirrors Detroit's overall advantage. The game turns on whether Vancouver can generate secondary scoring; Jake DeBrusk checks in at just 32% for a point, leaving the Canucks dependent on Pettersson to sustain play. AccuScore's model has hit 50% on away-side calls in this win-probability range across 2,685 graded games. For Vancouver to pull the upset, it would need contributions beyond its top line while tightening play at five-on-five.
| Book | VAN | EV | DET | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | +167 | +5.5% | -153 | -1.7% |
NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Detroit Red Wings 58% to beat Vancouver Canucks (42%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Detroit Red Wings the more likely winner at 58%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Vancouver Canucks a 42% chance of beating Detroit Red Wings, against 58% for Detroit Red Wings. Vancouver Canucks are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
How Detroit Red Wings and Vancouver Canucks come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Detroit Red Wings have won 2 of their last 5 (W-W-L-L-L, most recent first).
Vancouver Canucks have won 0 of their last 5 (L-L-L-L-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 28 times since 2011: Detroit Red Wings 18, Vancouver Canucks 10. The last meeting, on Jan 8, 2026, finished Vancouver Canucks 1, Detroit Red Wings 5.
Detroit Red Wings are 205-170 as favourite and 263-439 as underdog, and 212-334 on the road (39% of 546 games, 2011–2026).
Vancouver Canucks are 224-185 as favourite and 283-393 as underdog, and 271-287 at home (49% of 558 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | DET | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 205-170 | 224-185 |
| As underdog | 263-439 | 283-393 |
| At home | 268-283 | 271-287 |
| On the road | 212-334 | 252-309 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →