Montreal Canadiens
4-3
Chicago Blackhawks
3-6
Win Probability
The Montreal Canadiens travel to face the Chicago Blackhawks in a matchup the simulation sees as a coin-flip. Nick Suzuki carries the highest offensive upside for the visitors at a 31% chance of exceeding one point, while Roman Kantserov projects as the likeliest producer on either side at 47% to record at least one. The game hinges on whether combined scoring stays under the market total — the model gives that scenario a 54% probability. AccuScore's historical record on games shaped this way stands at 49% wins across 2,446 calls, a cautionary note on coin-flips. For Montreal to emerge victorious on the road, it would need either Suzuki or Lane Hutson to capitalize on their elevated scoring chances.
| Book | CHI | EV | MON | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | +163 | +16.1% | -150 | -8.6% |
NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Chicago Blackhawks 50% to beat Montreal Canadiens (50%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Chicago Blackhawks the more likely winner at 50%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Chicago Blackhawks a 50% chance of beating Montreal Canadiens, against 50% for Montreal Canadiens. Chicago Blackhawks are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Montreal Canadiens and Chicago Blackhawks come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Montreal Canadiens have won 3 of their last 5 (W-L-W-W-L, most recent first).
Chicago Blackhawks have won 2 of their last 5 (L-W-W-L-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 22 times since 2011: Montreal Canadiens 8, Chicago Blackhawks 14. The last meeting, on Dec 18, 2025, finished Chicago Blackhawks 1, Montreal Canadiens 4.
Montreal Canadiens are 240-195 as favourite and 279-419 as underdog, and 249-327 on the road (43% of 576 games, 2011–2026).
Chicago Blackhawks are 253-191 as favourite and 242-427 as underdog, and 271-291 at home (48% of 562 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | MON | CHI |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 240-195 | 253-191 |
| As underdog | 279-419 | 242-427 |
| At home | 281-297 | 271-291 |
| On the road | 249-327 | 233-333 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →