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← Today's Edges
NHL•Sat, Oct 24 • 12:00 AMSilver Edge
MON

Montreal Canadiens

4-3

VS
CHI

Chicago Blackhawks

3-6

Win Probability

Moneyline

MON

-150

49.7% win prob

EV -8.6%

Kalshi

Moneyline

CHI

+163

50.3% win prob

EV +16.1%

Kalshi

Analysis

The Montreal Canadiens travel to face the Chicago Blackhawks in a matchup the simulation sees as a coin-flip. Nick Suzuki carries the highest offensive upside for the visitors at a 31% chance of exceeding one point, while Roman Kantserov projects as the likeliest producer on either side at 47% to record at least one. The game hinges on whether combined scoring stays under the market total — the model gives that scenario a 54% probability. AccuScore's historical record on games shaped this way stands at 49% wins across 2,446 calls, a cautionary note on coin-flips. For Montreal to emerge victorious on the road, it would need either Suzuki or Lane Hutson to capitalize on their elevated scoring chances.

Probability Explorer— drag to explore lines

Puck Line (-1.5/+1.5)MON -1.5
70.5-6
MON Cover
37.4%
no odds at this line
CHI Cover
62.6%
no odds at this line
Total (Over/Under)O/U 5.5
0.56.2512
Over Cover
46.1%
no odds at this line
Under Cover
53.9%
no odds at this line

Player Props

CHI MON
Sort:

Odds Comparison

Moneyline

BookCHIEVMONEV
Kalshi ↗+163+16.1%-150-8.6%

Where to Bet

silver
CHI ML+16.1% EV

Win probability: 50.3%

Kalshi
+163Bet →

NHL

Montreal Canadiens vs Chicago Blackhawks Prediction, Odds & Live Score

Fri, Oct 23, 2026, 8:00 PM ET

AccuScore's simulation makes Chicago Blackhawks 50% to beat Montreal Canadiens (50%).

Projection updated Oct 20, 11:06 AM ET

Who will win Montreal Canadiens vs Chicago Blackhawks?

AccuScore's simulation makes Chicago Blackhawks the more likely winner at 50%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.

Will Chicago Blackhawks beat Montreal Canadiens?

AccuScore's simulation gives Chicago Blackhawks a 50% chance of beating Montreal Canadiens, against 50% for Montreal Canadiens. Chicago Blackhawks are at home and favoured on these numbers.

Every Montreal Canadiens vs Chicago Blackhawks meeting →Montreal Canadiens predictions & record →Chicago Blackhawks predictions & record →

Form, head-to-head and betting trends

How Montreal Canadiens and Chicago Blackhawks come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.

Recent form

Montreal CanadiensWLWWL
  • Oct 17vs Buffalo SabresW 4–3
  • Oct 14at Washington CapitalsL 4–5
  • Oct 13vs Buffalo SabresW 4–3
  • Oct 10vs Detroit Red WingsW 1–0
  • Oct 8vs Nashville PredatorsL 2–5

Montreal Canadiens have won 3 of their last 5 (W-L-W-W-L, most recent first).

Chicago BlackhawksLWWLL
  • Oct 17vs Dallas StarsL 0–4
  • Oct 15vs Winnipeg JetsW 4–3
  • Oct 13vs Pittsburgh PenguinsW 5–3
  • Oct 10vs Carolina HurricanesL 2–5
  • Oct 8at New York IslandersL 1–4

Chicago Blackhawks have won 2 of their last 5 (L-W-W-L-L, most recent first).

Head-to-head

The teams have met 22 times since 2011: Montreal Canadiens 8, Chicago Blackhawks 14. The last meeting, on Dec 18, 2025, finished Chicago Blackhawks 1, Montreal Canadiens 4.

  • Dec 18, 2025CHI 1 – 4 MON
  • Oct 11, 2025MON 3 – 2 CHI
  • Apr 14, 2025CHI 4 – 3 MON
  • Jan 3, 2025MON 2 – 4 CHI
  • Dec 22, 2023MON 5 – 2 CHI
Every Montreal Canadiens vs Chicago Blackhawks meeting →

Betting trends

Montreal Canadiens are 240-195 as favourite and 279-419 as underdog, and 249-327 on the road (43% of 576 games, 2011–2026).

Chicago Blackhawks are 253-191 as favourite and 242-427 as underdog, and 271-291 at home (48% of 562 games, 2011–2026).

RecordMONCHI
As favourite240-195253-191
As underdog279-419242-427
At home281-297271-291
On the road249-327233-333

Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →