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← Today's Edges
World Cup•FINAL🥇 Gold Edge
COL

Colombia

1

:
GHA

Ghana

0

Win Probability

Moneyline

COL

-238

71.1% win prob

EV +0.5%

bet365

Draw

Draw

+320

23% prob

EV -2.5%

bet365

Moneyline

GHA

+850

6.3% win prob

EV -20.1%

bet365

Probability Explorer— drag to explore lines

Total (Over/Under)O/U 1.5
0.53.56.5
Over Cover
62.5%
EV -8.4%
-303bet365 ↗
Under Cover
37.5%
EV +13.7%
+240bet365 ↗

Goal Scorer Probabilities

Ghana

Antoine Semenyo
16%
Inaki Williams
6%
Jordan Ayew
6%
Elisha Owusu
2%
Kwasi Sibo
1%
Thomas Partey
1%

Colombia

Luis Diaz
42%
Luis Suarez
39%
James Rodriguez
25%
Daniel Munoz
16%
Jefferson Lerma
7%
Jhon Arias
6%

Odds Comparison

Away / Draw / Home

BookCOLEVDrawEVGHAEV
bet365 ↗-238+0.5%+320-2.5%+850-20.1%

Total (O/U)

BookLineOverEV (O)UnderEV (U)
Pinnacle ↗1.5-278-7.5%+226+11.0%
bet365 ↗1.5-303-8.4%+240+13.7%
GHA 4-1-4-1Lineup4-3-3 COL
VargasMuñozSánchezLucumíMojicaPuertaLermaAriasRodríguezCórdobaDíazZigiSenayaLuckassenOpokuMensahParteyWilliamsYirenkyiSiboSemenyoAyew
GHACOL

Match Events

78
🟨
Richard Ríos
COL
76
🟨
Alidu Seidu
GHA
66
🟨
Abdul Fatawu Issahaku
GHA
49
🟨
Caleb Yirenkyi
GHA
14
⚽
Jhon Arias(ass. Luis Javier Suárez)
COL
12
🟨
Jhon Arias
COL

Match Statistics

GHAPossessionCOL
39%
61%
8
Shots
20
0
On Target
8
2
Corners
3
10
Fouls
14
0
Offsides
2
7
Saves
0
0.27
xG
2.04
376 (312)
Passes
586 (532)
4-1-4-1
Formation
4-3-3

Player Stats

GHA

#PlayerMinGAPssSvRat
1Lawrence Ati ZigiG90——36(25)79.5
23Derrick LuckassenD90——51(43)—7.3
18Jerome OpokuD90——51(43)—6.7
14Gideon MensahD90——45(35)—6.7
26Marvin SenayaD13——1(1)—6.9
5Thomas ParteyM90——50(44)—6.6
11Antoine SemenyoM90——19(13)—6.3
3Caleb YirenkyiM79——20(18)—6.2
19Iñaki WilliamsM62——9(5)—6.5
8Kwasi SiboM62——23(22)—6.5
9Jordan AyewF79——13(10)—6.5
Substitutes
12Joseph AnangG sub——————
16Benjamin AsareG sub——————
2Alidu SeiduD sub77——28(26)—6.7
4Jonas Adjei AdjeteyD sub——————
6Abdul MuminD sub——————
17Rahman BabaD sub——————
21Kojo Peprah OppongD sub——————
15Elisha OwusuM sub28——18(17)—6.7
20Augustine BoakyeM sub——————
7Abdul Fatawu IssahakuF sub28——5(5)—6.3
24Ernest NuamahF sub11——6(5)—6.7
25Prince Kwabena AduF sub11——1(0)—6.2
13Christopher BaahF sub——————
10Brandon Thomas-AsanteF sub——————
22Kamaldeen SulemanaF sub——————

Where to Bet

gold
COL ML+0.5% EV

Win probability: 71.1%

bet365
-238Bet →

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World Cup

Colombia vs Ghana Prediction

Final · COL 1–0 GHA · Fri, Jul 3, 2026, 9:30 PM ET

AccuScore's simulation makes Colombia 71% to win, Ghana 6%, with a 23% chance of a draw. Final score: Colombia 1, Ghana 0.

Projection updated Aug 17, 4:34 PM ET

Who will win Colombia vs Ghana?

AccuScore's simulation makes Colombia the more likely winner at 71%, with a 23% chance of a draw. The game finished Colombia 1, Ghana 0.

Will Ghana beat Colombia?

AccuScore's simulation gives Ghana a 6% chance of beating Colombia, with 71% for Colombia and 23% for a draw. It finished Ghana 0, Colombia 1.

Colombia predictions & record →Ghana predictions & record →

Form, head-to-head and betting trends

How Colombia and Ghana come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.

Recent form

ColombiaDWW
  • Jun 27at PortugalD 0–0
  • Jun 23at D.R. CongoW 1–0
  • Jun 17vs UzbekistanW 3–1

Colombia have won 2 of their last 3 (D-W-W, most recent first).

GhanaLDW
  • Jun 27vs CroatiaL 1–2
  • Jun 23vs EnglandD 0–0
  • Jun 17at PanamaW 1–0

Ghana have won 1 of their last 3 (L-D-W, most recent first).