Jacksonville Jaguars
6-2
33
Baltimore Ravens
4-5
10
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | Line | BAL | EV | JAX | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | +9.5 | -110 | -0.5% | -110 | -4.1% |
| FanDuel ↗ | +9.5 | -108 | -0.0% | -112 | -4.5% |
| BetMGM ↗ | +9.5 | -102 | +1.4% | -108 | -3.7% |
| Caesars ↗ | +9.5 | -104 | +0.9% | -115 | -5.0% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | +10 | -115 | +0.2% | -105 | -4.6% |
| Book | BAL | EV | JAX | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | +350 | -3.0% | -455 | -1.9% |
| FanDuel ↗ | +385 | +0.7% | -500 | -2.7% |
| BetMGM ↗ | +375 | -0.4% | -475 | -2.2% |
| Caesars ↗ | +360 | -1.9% | -480 | -2.3% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | +360 | -1.9% | -500 | -2.7% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 39.5 | -120 | -3.2% | +100 | -1.1% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 39.5 | -115 | -2.2% | -105 | -2.3% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 40 | -108 | -2.5% | -110 | -1.5% |
| Caesars ↗ | 40 | -110 | -2.9% | -109 | -1.3% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 40.5 | +100 | -2.6% | -120 | -1.8% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JAX | 10 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 33 |
| BAL | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 |
Bhayshul Tuten 1 Yd Rush (Cam Little Kick)
JAX
7–0
Jake Moody 53 Yd Field Goal
BAL
7–3
Cam Little 36 Yd Field Goal
JAX
10–3
Parker Washington 50 Yd pass from Trevor Lawrence (Cam Little Kick)
JAX
17–3
Cam Little 45 Yd Field Goal
JAX
20–3
Cam Little 47 Yd Field Goal
JAX
23–3
Cam Little 33 Yd Field Goal
JAX
26–3
Chris Rodriguez Jr. 2 Yd Rush (Cam Little Kick)
JAX
33–3
Justice Hill 65 Yd Rush (Jake Moody Kick)
BAL
33–10
| JAX | C/ATT | YDS | AVG | TD | INT | SCK | RATING | 2PT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Lawrence | 16/26 | 242 | 9.3 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 105.0 | 0 |
| BAL | C/ATT | YDS | AVG | TD | INT | SCK | RATING | 2PT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Fagnano | 10/18 | 60 | 3.3 | 0 | 2 | 1-2 | 22.7 | 0 |
| Derrick Henry | 1/1 | -3 | -3.0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 79.2 | 0 |
Venue
M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD
Attendance
70,007
Where to Bet
goldWin probability: 51.9%
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NFL
Final · JAX 33–10 BAL ·
AccuScore's simulation makes Jacksonville Jaguars 79% to beat Baltimore Ravens (21%). Final score: Jacksonville Jaguars 33, Baltimore Ravens 10.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Jacksonville Jaguars the more likely winner at 79%. The game finished Jacksonville Jaguars 33, Baltimore Ravens 10.
AccuScore's simulation gives Baltimore Ravens a 21% chance of beating Jacksonville Jaguars, against 79% for Jacksonville Jaguars. It finished Baltimore Ravens 10, Jacksonville Jaguars 33.
Jacksonville Jaguars (6-2 so far) project to finish 12.3–4.7 and make the playoffs in 96% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Baltimore Ravens (4-5 so far) project to finish 7.4–9.6 and make the playoffs in 15% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 12.3–4.7 | 90% | 96% |
| Baltimore Ravens | 7.4–9.6 | 3% | 15% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NFL team's projection →
How Jacksonville Jaguars and Baltimore Ravens come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Jacksonville Jaguars have won 4 of their last 5 (W-L-W-W-W, most recent first).
Baltimore Ravens have won 2 of their last 5 (L-L-L-W-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 8 times since 2011: Jacksonville Jaguars 4, Baltimore Ravens 4. The last meeting, on Dec 17, 2023, finished Baltimore Ravens 23, Jacksonville Jaguars 7.
Jacksonville Jaguars are 41-29 as favourite and 49-139 as underdog, and 35-93 on the road (27% of 128 games, 2011–2026).
Baltimore Ravens are 133-62 as favourite and 28-48 as underdog, and 88-46 at home (66% of 134 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | JAX | BAL |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 41-29 | 133-62 |
| As underdog | 49-139 | 28-48 |
| At home | 56-75 | 88-46 |
| On the road | 35-93 | 73-64 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NFL odds have moved →