NFL • Sun, Nov 8, 18:00
The Detroit Lions travel to Miami to face the Dolphins in a matchup where AccuScore's simulation clearly favours the visitors. Jared Goff is projected for 260 passing yards, while Jahmyr Gibbs should see 135 yards from scrimmage as Detroit's offence looks to impose itself early. Miami's passing game leans heavily on Malik Willis, who projects for just 210 yards—a 50-yard gap that captures the efficiency differential between these two attacks.
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
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NFL
AccuScore's simulation makes Detroit Lions 66% to beat Miami Dolphins (34%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Detroit Lions the more likely winner at 66%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Miami Dolphins a 34% chance of beating Detroit Lions, against 66% for Detroit Lions. Miami Dolphins are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
Detroit Lions (5-2 so far) project to finish 10.5–6.5 and make the playoffs in 70% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Miami Dolphins (1-6 so far) project to finish 4.4–12.6 and make the playoffs in 2% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Lions | 10.5–6.5 | 25% | 70% |
| Miami Dolphins | 4.4–12.6 | <1% | 2% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NFL team's projection →
How Detroit Lions and Miami Dolphins come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Detroit Lions have won 4 of their last 5 (W-W-W-L-W, most recent first).
Miami Dolphins have won 1 of their last 5 (L-W-L-L-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 3 times since 2014: Detroit Lions 2, Miami Dolphins 1. The last meeting, on Oct 30, 2022, finished Miami Dolphins 31, Detroit Lions 27.
Detroit Lions are 88-36-1 as favourite and 36-94-1 as underdog, and 56-72-2 on the road (43% of 130 games, 2011–2026).
Miami Dolphins are 63-30 as favourite and 54-107 as underdog, and 73-53 at home (58% of 126 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | DET | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 88-36-1 | 63-30 |
| As underdog | 36-94-1 | 54-107 |
| At home | 70-59 | 73-53 |
| On the road | 56-72-2 | 45-84 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NFL odds have moved →