NFL • Sun, Nov 8, 18:00
The New Orleans Saints host the Cleveland Browns in a matchup where the simulation favors the home side. Tyler Shough's projected 230 passing yards will likely carry New Orleans's attack, while Deshaun Watson is expected to manage 210 yards through the air for Cleveland. The game turns on whether New Orleans can sustain offensive balance: Alvin Kamara's 50 projected yards from scrimmage suggests the Saints will need complementary production alongside their passing game.
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
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NFL
AccuScore's simulation makes New Orleans Saints 57% to beat Cleveland Browns (43%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes New Orleans Saints the more likely winner at 57%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives New Orleans Saints a 57% chance of beating Cleveland Browns, against 43% for Cleveland Browns. New Orleans Saints are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Cleveland Browns (5-3 so far) project to finish 8.7–8.3 and make the playoffs in 37% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
New Orleans Saints (2-5 so far) project to finish 6.0–11.0 and make the playoffs in 15% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Browns | 8.7–8.3 | 10% | 37% |
| New Orleans Saints | 6.0–11.0 | 14% | 15% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NFL team's projection →
How Cleveland Browns and New Orleans Saints come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Cleveland Browns have won 3 of their last 5 (L-W-W-L-W, most recent first).
New Orleans Saints have won 1 of their last 5 (L-W-L-L-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 4 times since 2014: Cleveland Browns 1, New Orleans Saints 3. The last meeting, on Nov 17, 2024, finished Cleveland Browns 14, New Orleans Saints 35.
Cleveland Browns are 46-35 as favourite and 43-129-1 as underdog, and 31-99 on the road (24% of 130 games, 2011–2026).
New Orleans Saints are 108-55 as favourite and 35-64 as underdog, and 78-55 at home (59% of 133 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | CLE | NO |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 46-35 | 108-55 |
| As underdog | 43-129-1 | 35-64 |
| At home | 58-67-1 | 78-55 |
| On the road | 31-99 | 66-64 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NFL odds have moved →