NFL • Sun, Nov 8, 18:00
The Los Angeles Rams travel to face the Washington Commanders in a matchup where the simulation clearly favours the visitors. Matthew Stafford projects for 250 passing yards against a Washington defence that AccuScore expects to yield 220 yards to Jayden Daniels, suggesting a gap in offensive efficiency. Puka Nacua is forecast at 100 yards from scrimmage, while Washington's top target Stefon Diggs sits at just 45 receiving yards—a disparity that captures how the simulation sees this game unfolding.
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
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NFL
AccuScore's simulation makes Los Angeles Rams 59% to beat Washington Commanders (41%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Los Angeles Rams the more likely winner at 59%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Washington Commanders a 41% chance of beating Los Angeles Rams, against 59% for Los Angeles Rams. Washington Commanders are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
Los Angeles Rams (4-4 so far) project to finish 9.3–7.7 and make the playoffs in 47% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Rams | 9.3–7.7 | 10% | 47% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NFL team's projection →
How Los Angeles Rams and Washington Commanders come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Los Angeles Rams have won 3 of their last 5 (W-W-L-L-W, most recent first).
Washington Commanders have won 2 of their last 5 (W-L-D-L-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 7 times since 2011: Los Angeles Rams 4, Washington Commanders 3. The last meeting, on Dec 17, 2023, finished Washington Commanders 20, Los Angeles Rams 28.
Los Angeles Rams are 96-43 as favourite and 43-85-1 as underdog, and 66-69-1 on the road (49% of 136 games, 2011–2026).
Washington Commanders are 44-30-2 as favourite and 58-121-1 as underdog, and 53-75-1 at home (41% of 129 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | LAR | WAS |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 96-43 | 44-30-2 |
| As underdog | 43-85-1 | 58-121-1 |
| At home | 73-60 | 53-75-1 |
| On the road | 66-69-1 | 50-77-2 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NFL odds have moved →