NFL • Sun, Nov 8, 21:05
The Houston Texans travel to face the Los Angeles Chargers in a matchup where the simulation clearly favours the visitors. C.J. Stroud projects to 240 passing yards against a Los Angeles defence that Justin Herbert is expected to struggle to match, with the Chargers quarterback projected for just 200 yards.
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
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NFL
AccuScore's simulation makes Houston Texans 64% to beat Los Angeles Chargers (35%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Houston Texans the more likely winner at 64%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Los Angeles Chargers a 35% chance of beating Houston Texans, against 64% for Houston Texans. Los Angeles Chargers are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
Houston Texans (2-5 so far) project to finish 7.7–9.3 and make the playoffs in 29% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Los Angeles Chargers (0-7 so far) project to finish 3.9–13.1 and make the playoffs in 1% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Texans | 7.7–9.3 | 8% | 29% |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 3.9–13.1 | <1% | 1% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NFL team's projection →
How Houston Texans and Los Angeles Chargers come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Houston Texans have won 2 of their last 5 (L-W-W-L-L, most recent first).
Los Angeles Chargers have won 0 of their last 5 (L-L-L-L-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 7 times since 2013: Houston Texans 5, Los Angeles Chargers 2. The last meeting, on Dec 27, 2025, finished Houston Texans 20, Los Angeles Chargers 16.
Houston Texans are 86-38 as favourite and 41-100-1 as underdog, and 57-76 on the road (43% of 133 games, 2011–2026).
Los Angeles Chargers are 85-60 as favourite and 39-75 as underdog, and 63-63 at home (50% of 126 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | HOU | LAC |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 86-38 | 85-60 |
| As underdog | 41-100-1 | 39-75 |
| At home | 71-63-1 | 63-63 |
| On the road | 57-76 | 61-72 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NFL odds have moved →