Buccaneers vs Bears Prediction (Nov 8): Bears 63%

NFL • Mon, Nov 9, 01:20

Tampa Bay Buccaneers3-5

CHI

Chicago Bears5-2

Preview

The Chicago Bears host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in a matchup where the simulation leans toward the home side. Baker Mayfield is projected for 220 passing yards, while Bucky Irving figures to see 80 yards from scrimmage; the Buccaneers' success hinges on whether that ground game can sustain drives against Chicago's defence. Caleb Williams projects to 240 passing yards, with Dandre Swift adding 65 yards from scrimmage as the Bears' offensive engine.

🔒

Unlock AccuScore's full analysis

See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.

See plans — from $19 Create a free account →

Free members get the daily Gold Pick delivered by email.

Daily Picks Digest

Get one of today's Gold picks delivered every morning — free.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.

Season outlook

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-5 so far) project to finish 7.4–9.6 and make the playoffs in 37% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

Chicago Bears (5-2 so far) project to finish 10.7–6.3 and make the playoffs in 68% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

Team	Projected record	Division title	Playoffs
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	7.4–9.6	35%	37%
Chicago Bears	10.7–6.3	26%	68%

From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NFL team's projection →

AccuScore's simulation makes Chicago Bears 63% to beat Tampa Bay Buccaneers (37%).

Projection updated Nov 2, 9:40 PM ET

Who will win Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Chicago Bears?

AccuScore's simulation makes Chicago Bears the more likely winner at 63%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.

Will Chicago Bears beat Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

AccuScore's simulation gives Chicago Bears a 63% chance of beating Tampa Bay Buccaneers, against 37% for Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Chicago Bears are at home and favoured on these numbers.

Form, head-to-head and betting trends

How Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Chicago Bears come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.

Recent form

Tampa Bay BuccaneersWWLWL

Nov 1vs Atlanta FalconsW 16–0
Oct 25at Carolina PanthersW 43–13
Oct 18vs Pittsburgh SteelersL 19–26
Oct 8at Dallas CowboysW 24–16
Oct 4vs Green Bay PackersL 14–17

Tampa Bay Buccaneers have won 3 of their last 5 (W-W-L-W-L, most recent first).

Chicago BearsWWLWW

Oct 22vs New England PatriotsW 30–24
Oct 18at Atlanta FalconsW 31–23
Oct 11at Green Bay PackersL 7–31
Oct 4vs New York JetsW 23–12
Sep 28vs Philadelphia EaglesW 27–7

Chicago Bears have won 4 of their last 5 (W-W-L-W-W, most recent first).

Head-to-head

The teams have met 9 times since 2011: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 4, Chicago Bears 5. The last meeting, on Sep 17, 2023, finished Chicago Bears 17, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 27.

Sep 17, 2023CHI 17 – 27 TB
Oct 24, 2021CHI 3 – 38 TB
Oct 8, 2020TB 19 – 20 CHI
Sep 30, 2018TB 10 – 48 CHI
Sep 17, 2017CHI 7 – 29 TB

Every Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Chicago Bears meeting →

Betting trends

Tampa Bay Buccaneers are 72-46 as favourite and 44-100 as underdog, and 57-73 on the road (44% of 130 games, 2011–2026).

Chicago Bears are 63-29 as favourite and 47-112 as underdog, and 62-67 at home (48% of 129 games, 2011–2026).

Record	TB	CHI
As favourite	72-46	63-29
As underdog	44-100	47-112
At home	60-73	62-67
On the road	57-73	49-78

Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NFL odds have moved →