Chiefs vs Falcons Prediction (Nov 15): Chiefs 61%

NFL • Sun, Nov 15, 18:00

Kansas City Chiefs6-2

ATL

Atlanta Falcons3-6

Preview

Kansas City Chiefs travel to Atlanta to face the Falcons in a matchup the simulation favors clearly toward the visitors. When AccuScore has leaned this strongly on a side in the past, that team won 64% of the time across 1,454 graded games. Atlanta would need to hold the Chiefs' offense well below projection to pull the upset, while Kansas City's path runs through doing what it does—controlling pace and limiting explosive plays from the home team.

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AccuScore's simulation makes Kansas City Chiefs 61% to beat Atlanta Falcons (39%).

Projection updated Nov 9, 10:50 PM ET

Who will win Kansas City Chiefs vs Atlanta Falcons?

AccuScore's simulation makes Kansas City Chiefs the more likely winner at 61%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.

Will Atlanta Falcons beat Kansas City Chiefs?

AccuScore's simulation gives Atlanta Falcons a 39% chance of beating Kansas City Chiefs, against 61% for Kansas City Chiefs. Atlanta Falcons are at home but the underdog on these numbers.

Season outlook

Kansas City Chiefs (6-2 so far) project to finish 11.0–6.0 and make the playoffs in 88% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

Atlanta Falcons (3-6 so far) project to finish 6.4–10.6 and make the playoffs in 17% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

Team	Projected record	Division title	Playoffs
Kansas City Chiefs	11.0–6.0	41%	88%
Atlanta Falcons	6.4–10.6	16%	17%

From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NFL team's projection →

Form, head-to-head and betting trends

How Kansas City Chiefs and Atlanta Falcons come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.

Recent form

Kansas City ChiefsWLLWW

Nov 8vs New York JetsW 35–12
Nov 1at Denver BroncosL 24–28
Oct 25at Seattle SeahawksL 3–20
Oct 18vs Los Angeles ChargersW 22–6
Oct 4at Las Vegas RaidersW 30–27

Kansas City Chiefs have won 3 of their last 5 (W-L-L-W-W, most recent first).

Atlanta FalconsLLWLL

Nov 8vs Cincinnati BengalsL 17–34
Nov 1at Tampa Bay BuccaneersL 0–16
Oct 25vs San Francisco 49ersW 29–20
Oct 18vs Chicago BearsL 23–31
Oct 11vs Baltimore RavensL 23–30

Atlanta Falcons have won 1 of their last 5 (L-L-W-L-L, most recent first).

Head-to-head

The teams have met 4 times since 2012: Kansas City Chiefs 3, Atlanta Falcons 1. The last meeting, on Sep 22, 2024, finished Kansas City Chiefs 22, Atlanta Falcons 17.

Sep 22, 2024KC 22 – 17 ATL
Dec 27, 2020ATL 14 – 17 KC
Dec 4, 2016KC 29 – 28 ATL
Sep 9, 2012ATL 40 – 24 KC

Every Kansas City Chiefs vs Atlanta Falcons meeting →

Betting trends

Kansas City Chiefs are 147-53 as favourite and 34-45 as underdog, and 82-53 on the road (61% of 135 games, 2011–2026).

Atlanta Falcons are 79-57 as favourite and 45-80 as underdog, and 67-65 at home (51% of 132 games, 2011–2026).

Record	KC	ATL
As favourite	147-53	79-57
As underdog	34-45	45-80
At home	99-45	67-65
On the road	82-53	57-73

Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NFL odds have moved →