Texans vs Browns Prediction (Nov 15): Texans 62%

NFL • Sun, Nov 15, 18:00

HOU

Houston Texans3-5

CLE

Cleveland Browns5-4

Preview

The Houston Texans travel to Cleveland to face the Browns in a matchup where the simulation clearly favors Houston. In 1,454 games where the model leaned this strongly to one side, that side won 64% of the time. The game likely turns on pace and efficiency: the Texans' projection relies on sustained offensive execution, while Cleveland's path to victory requires forcing Houston into enough negative plays to keep the score compressed.

🔒

Unlock AccuScore's full analysis

See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.

See plans — from $19 Create a free account →

Free members get the daily Gold Pick delivered by email.

Daily Picks Digest

Get one of today's Gold picks delivered every morning — free.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.

AccuScore's simulation makes Houston Texans 62% to beat Cleveland Browns (38%).

Projection updated Nov 9, 10:50 PM ET

Who will win Houston Texans vs Cleveland Browns?

AccuScore's simulation makes Houston Texans the more likely winner at 62%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.

Will Cleveland Browns beat Houston Texans?

AccuScore's simulation gives Cleveland Browns a 38% chance of beating Houston Texans, against 62% for Houston Texans. Cleveland Browns are at home but the underdog on these numbers.

Season outlook

Houston Texans (3-5 so far) project to finish 8.2–8.8 and make the playoffs in 39% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

Cleveland Browns (5-4 so far) project to finish 7.9–9.1 and make the playoffs in 26% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

Team	Projected record	Division title	Playoffs
Houston Texans	8.2–8.8	11%	39%
Cleveland Browns	7.9–9.1	4%	26%

From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NFL team's projection →

Form, head-to-head and betting trends

How Houston Texans and Cleveland Browns come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.

Recent form

Houston TexansWLWWL

Nov 8at Los Angeles ChargersW 44–22
Oct 25vs New York GiantsL 21–27
Oct 18at Jacksonville JaguarsW 34–31
Oct 11at Tennessee TitansW 26–3
Oct 4vs Dallas CowboysL 30–34

Houston Texans have won 3 of their last 5 (W-L-W-W-L, most recent first).

Cleveland BrownsLLWWL

Nov 8at New Orleans SaintsL 22–23
Nov 1at Pittsburgh SteelersL 6–27
Oct 25at Tennessee TitansW 27–24
Oct 18vs Baltimore RavensW 13–10
Oct 11at New York JetsL 12–17

Cleveland Browns have won 2 of their last 5 (L-L-W-W-L, most recent first).

Head-to-head

The teams have met 9 times since 2011: Houston Texans 5, Cleveland Browns 4. The last meeting, on Jan 13, 2024, finished Cleveland Browns 14, Houston Texans 45.

Jan 13, 2024CLE 14 – 45 HOU
Dec 24, 2023CLE 36 – 22 HOU
Dec 4, 2022CLE 27 – 14 HOU
Sep 19, 2021HOU 21 – 31 CLE
Nov 15, 2020HOU 7 – 10 CLE

Every Houston Texans vs Cleveland Browns meeting →

Betting trends

Houston Texans are 87-38 as favourite and 41-100-1 as underdog, and 58-76 on the road (43% of 134 games, 2011–2026).

Cleveland Browns are 46-35 as favourite and 43-130-1 as underdog, and 58-67-1 at home (46% of 126 games, 2011–2026).

Record	HOU	CLE
As favourite	87-38	46-35
As underdog	41-100-1	43-130-1
At home	71-63-1	58-67-1
On the road	58-76	31-100

Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NFL odds have moved →