NFL • Sun, Nov 15, 21:25
The San Francisco 49ers travel to Dallas to face the Cowboys in a matchup where the simulation clearly favors the visitors. Brock Purdy is projected for 270 passing yards while Christian McCaffrey is expected to contribute 90 yards from scrimmage, anchoring an attack that the model sees as more efficient than Dallas's.
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
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San Francisco 49ers (7-1 so far) project to finish 12.8–4.2 and make the playoffs in 93% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Dallas Cowboys (4-5 so far) project to finish 7.8–9.2 and make the playoffs in 27% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco 49ers | 12.8–4.2 | 78% | 93% |
| Dallas Cowboys | 7.8–9.2 | 24% | 27% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NFL team's projection →
NFL
AccuScore's simulation makes San Francisco 49ers 62% to beat Dallas Cowboys (38%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes San Francisco 49ers the more likely winner at 62%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Dallas Cowboys a 38% chance of beating San Francisco 49ers, against 62% for San Francisco 49ers. Dallas Cowboys are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
How San Francisco 49ers and Dallas Cowboys come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
San Francisco 49ers have won 4 of their last 5 (W-L-W-W-W, most recent first).
Dallas Cowboys have won 2 of their last 5 (W-L-W-L-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 9 times since 2011: San Francisco 49ers 5, Dallas Cowboys 4. The last meeting, on Oct 27, 2024, finished Dallas Cowboys 24, San Francisco 49ers 30.
San Francisco 49ers are 116-52-1 as favourite and 36-69 as underdog, and 73-64 on the road (53% of 137 games, 2011–2026).
Dallas Cowboys are 107-55 as favourite and 36-63-1 as underdog, and 75-55-1 at home (57% of 131 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | SF | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 116-52-1 | 107-55 |
| As underdog | 36-69 | 36-63-1 |
| At home | 80-57-1 | 75-55-1 |
| On the road | 73-64 | 68-64 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NFL odds have moved →