Los Angeles Angels
62-98
Seattle Mariners
74-86
Win Probability
Projected score
2.8 – 4.2
The Los Angeles Angels visit the Seattle Mariners in a matchup where the simulation decisively favors the home side. Luke Raley has a 23% chance to go deep, while Josh Lowe projects at 50% to record a hit, suggesting the Mariners' lineup should generate consistent contact. The game turns on whether Seattle's offense can sustain pressure: AccuScore's model has returned 65% on 1784 similarly shaped calls, a modest track record that matters when margins are tight. For the Angels to pull the upset, they would need to silence that contact and keep the Mariners off the board early.
1st 5 Innings — AccuScore Projection
F5 LAA
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F5 Total
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F5 SEA
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| Book | Line | SEA | EV | LAA | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | +1.5 | -345 | -15.6% | +266 | +35.4% |
| Betfair ↗ | +1.5 | -200 | -10.0% | +163 | +11.4% |
| bet365 ↗ | +1.5 | -303 | -14.5% | +210 | +22.4% |
| BetVictor ↗ | +1.5 | -222 | -11.3% | +160 | +10.7% |
| Marathon ↗ | +1.5 | -357 | -15.9% | +240 | +29.4% |
| Book | SEA | EV | LAA | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -193 | +4.5% | +159 | -13.6% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -198 | +4.0% | +166 | -12.6% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -190 | +4.8% | +155 | -14.2% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -187 | +5.1% | +162 | -13.2% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 7.5 | +102 | -10.4% | -122 | +5.3% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 7.5 | +100 | -10.8% | -122 | +5.3% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 7.5 | +100 | -10.8% | -120 | +5.8% |
| Polymarket ↗ | 7.5 | +107 | -9.4% | -123 | +5.1% |
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 60.8%
MLB
AccuScore's simulation makes Seattle Mariners 72% to beat Los Angeles Angels (28%). Projected score: Los Angeles Angels 2.8, Seattle Mariners 4.2.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Seattle Mariners the more likely winner at 72%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Seattle Mariners a 72% chance of beating Los Angeles Angels, against 28% for Los Angeles Angels. Seattle Mariners are at home and favoured on these numbers.
AccuScore projects Los Angeles Angels 2.8, Seattle Mariners 4.2.