Houston Astros
80-81
Athletics
64-97
Win Probability
Projected score
7.8 – 3.6
The Houston Astros travel to Oakland to face the Athletics in a matchup where the simulation favors Houston decisively. The Astros' offense projects to carry the load, with the team forecast to score nearly 8 runs; the Athletics, entering this contest well below.500, figure to struggle in response. On games shaped like this one historically, AccuScore's model has won 50% of the time across similar win-probability scenarios. For Oakland to pull off the upset, their hitters would need to exceed the projected total significantly—a tall task against a Houston team the simulation has clearly pegged as the stronger side tonight.
| Book | Line | ATH | EV | HOU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | +1.5 | -107 | -37.8% | -112 | +32.7% |
| FanDuel ↗ | +1.5 | -110 | -38.0% | -110 | +33.4% |
| BetMGM ↗ | +1.5 | -110 | -38.0% | -110 | +33.4% |
| Book | ATH | EV | HOU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | +145 | -25.9% | -176 | +13.0% |
| FanDuel ↗ | +144 | -26.0% | -172 | +13.5% |
| BetMGM ↗ | +145 | -25.9% | -175 | +13.1% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 9.5 | +100 | +8.4% | -120 | -11.9% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 9.5 | -105 | +7.0% | -115 | -11.1% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 9.5 | -102 | +7.9% | -118 | -11.6% |
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 70.3%
MLB
AccuScore's simulation makes Houston Astros 80% to beat Athletics (20%). Projected score: Houston Astros 7.8, Athletics 3.6.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Houston Astros the more likely winner at 80%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Athletics a 20% chance of beating Houston Astros, against 80% for Houston Astros. Athletics are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
AccuScore projects Houston Astros 7.8, Athletics 3.6.