Chicago White Sox
84-78
Houston Astros
81-81
Win Probability
Moneyline
CHW
37.0% win prob
Moneyline
HOU
63.0% win prob
Projected score
3.9 – 5.0
The Chicago White Sox travel to Houston for a matchup where the simulation favors the Astros. Hunter Brown is projected for 13.0 strikeouts, and that volume will be critical to Houston's chances of controlling the pace; Sam Antonacci carries a 17% home run probability that could shift the game if he connects. Across eight similar spots in the model's history, the favored home side won five times. The White Sox would need to beat their projected run total and catch Brown inefficient to pull the upset.
1st 5 Innings — AccuScore Projection
F5 CHW
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F5 Total
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F5 HOU
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| Book | Line | HOU | EV | CHW | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | +1.5 | -250 | -17.0% | +199 | +28.9% |
| bet365 ↗ | +1.5 | -244 | -16.7% | +180 | +23.9% |
| Marathon ↗ | +1.5 | -256 | -17.2% | +181 | +24.2% |
| 1xBet ↗ | +1.5 | -256 | -17.2% | +181 | +24.2% |
| Betano ↗ | +1.5 | -250 | -17.0% | +180 | +23.9% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | 6.5 | -227 | -2.5% | +183 | -1.9% |
| Betfair ↗ | 8.5 | -105 | -3.2% | -118 | -1.9% |
| bet365 ↗ | 6.5 | -250 | -3.8% | +182 | -2.0% |
| BetVictor ↗ | 6.5 | -227 | -2.5% | +160 | -5.8% |
| Marathon ↗ | 7 | -204 | -3.0% | +147 | -3.5% |
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 41.0%
MLB
AccuScore's simulation makes Houston Astros 63% to beat Chicago White Sox (37%). Projected score: Chicago White Sox 3.9, Houston Astros 5.0.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Houston Astros the more likely winner at 63%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Houston Astros a 63% chance of beating Chicago White Sox, against 37% for Chicago White Sox. Houston Astros are at home and favoured on these numbers.
AccuScore projects Chicago White Sox 3.9, Houston Astros 5.0.