Columbus Crew
Dallas
Win Probability
Moneyline
CLB
+233
19.6% win prob
EV -17.4%
Pinnacle
Draw
Draw
+300
28% prob
EV +6.6%
Betfair
Moneyline
DAL
+105
52.1% win prob
EV +3.4%
Betano
Columbus Crew travels to Dallas, where the simulation favors the home side clearly. The deciding factor is Dallas's ability to limit Columbus Crew's scoring opportunities; the model projects just 0.9 goals for the visitors, with a 13% chance the match ends 0–1. On similar matchups across eight other games, AccuScore's lean picked the winner only 25% of the time. For Columbus Crew to escape with a result, they would need to convert chances at a rate well above their projected output and keep Dallas's attack from the clinical finishing the model expects.
| Book | CLB | EV | Draw | EV | DAL | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | +233 | -17.4% | +297 | +6.2% | +100 | +2.1% |
| Betfair ↗ | +210 | -19.6% | +300 | +6.6% | +100 | +2.1% |
| Betano ↗ | +230 | -17.7% | +285 | +4.5% | +105 | +3.4% |
| William Hill ↗ | +220 | -18.6% | +260 | +0.9% | -105 | +0.9% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | 3 | -127 | -18.7% | +105 | +17.6% |
| Betano ↗ | 3 | -122 | -18.3% | +105 | +17.6% |
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 28.3%
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MLS
AccuScore's simulation makes Dallas 52% to win, Columbus Crew 20%, with a 28% chance of a draw.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Dallas the more likely winner at 52%, with a 28% chance of a draw. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Dallas a 52% chance of beating Columbus Crew, with 20% for Columbus Crew and 28% for a draw. Dallas are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Columbus Crew and Dallas come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Columbus Crew have won 4 of their last 5 (W-W-W-L-W, most recent first).
Dallas have won 3 of their last 5, drawing 1 (W-D-W-L-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 5 times since 2017: Columbus Crew 2, Dallas 0, 3 drawn. The last meeting, on Sep 24, 2023, finished Columbus Crew 1, Dallas 1.