Atlanta Braves
94-68
Los Angeles Dodgers
100-62
Win Probability
Moneyline
ATL
41.1% win prob
Moneyline
LAD
58.9% win prob
Projected score
2.6 – 3.3
The Atlanta Braves visit the Los Angeles Dodgers in a matchup where the simulation leans toward the home side. Shohei Ohtani has a 17% chance to go deep, while Max Muncy projects to record a hit in 46% of outcomes—modest rates that reflect how scoring will likely come in a tight, low-run affair. The game turns on whether Atlanta can manufacture offense against Los Angeles' pitching; the projected totals suggest runs will be hard to come by. AccuScore's model has returned 49% on similar games shaped this way across 6,350 graded contests. The Braves' path to victory runs through keeping the Dodgers off the board early.
1st 5 Innings — AccuScore Projection
F5 ATL
—
F5 Total
—
F5 LAD
—
| Book | Line | LAD | EV | ATL | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | +1.5 | -370 | -24.8% | +279 | +64.4% |
| bet365 ↗ | +1.5 | -400 | -25.2% | +280 | +64.7% |
| Marathon ↗ | +1.5 | -385 | -25.0% | +254 | +56.9% |
| 1xBet ↗ | +1.5 | -385 | -25.0% | +254 | +56.9% |
| Betano ↗ | +1.5 | -345 | -24.4% | +240 | +52.6% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | 8.5 | -101 | -31.8% | -114 | +26.7% |
| Betfair ↗ | 8.5 | +110 | -30.8% | -133 | +21.6% |
| bet365 ↗ | 8.5 | +105 | -31.2% | -147 | +18.6% |
| BetVictor ↗ | 8.5 | +100 | -31.7% | -137 | +20.7% |
| Marathon ↗ | 8.5 | -102 | -31.9% | -123 | +24.1% |
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 61.4%
MLB
AccuScore's simulation makes Los Angeles Dodgers 59% to beat Atlanta Braves (41%). Projected score: Atlanta Braves 2.6, Los Angeles Dodgers 3.3.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Los Angeles Dodgers the more likely winner at 59%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Los Angeles Dodgers a 59% chance of beating Atlanta Braves, against 41% for Atlanta Braves. Los Angeles Dodgers are at home and favoured on these numbers.
AccuScore projects Atlanta Braves 2.6, Los Angeles Dodgers 3.3.