Atlanta Braves
94-68
Los Angeles Dodgers
100-62
Win Probability
Moneyline
ATL
40.8% win prob
Moneyline
LAD
59.2% win prob
Projected score
4.1 – 4.5
The Atlanta Braves travel to face the Los Angeles Dodgers in a matchup where the simulation leans toward the home side. AccuScore's model projects a close contest that hinges on whether either offense can break through: the Braves are favoured to score 4.1 runs, while the Dodgers project to 4.5. On similar games shaped this way, AccuScore's historical record stands at 49% across more than 6,000 decisions. For Atlanta to pull off the upset, it would need to exceed its projected output and limit Los Angeles to the lower end of its range—a narrow path in a game the model favors the host.
1st 5 Innings — AccuScore Projection
F5 ATL
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F5 Total
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F5 LAD
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| Book | Line | LAD | EV | ATL | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | +1.5 | -385 | -13.6% | +282 | +30.7% |
| bet365 ↗ | +1.5 | -400 | -13.9% | +280 | +30.3% |
| Marathon ↗ | +1.5 | -400 | -13.9% | +262 | +26.5% |
| 1xBet ↗ | +1.5 | -400 | -13.9% | +262 | +26.5% |
| Betano ↗ | +1.5 | -357 | -13.0% | +245 | +22.9% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | 7 | -196 | -3.3% | +160 | +0.1% |
| Betfair ↗ | 8.5 | +110 | -1.6% | -133 | -2.8% |
| bet365 ↗ | 7 | -182 | -2.2% | +135 | -4.2% |
| BetVictor ↗ | 7.5 | -149 | -3.7% | +105 | -4.3% |
| Marathon ↗ | 7 | -204 | -3.8% | +147 | -2.1% |
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 61.2%
MLB
AccuScore's simulation makes Los Angeles Dodgers 59% to beat Atlanta Braves (41%). Projected score: Atlanta Braves 4.1, Los Angeles Dodgers 4.5.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Los Angeles Dodgers the more likely winner at 59%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Los Angeles Dodgers a 59% chance of beating Atlanta Braves, against 41% for Atlanta Braves. Los Angeles Dodgers are at home and favoured on these numbers.
AccuScore projects Atlanta Braves 4.1, Los Angeles Dodgers 4.5.