Milwaukee Brewers
103-59
San Diego Padres
91-71
Win Probability
Moneyline
MIL
51.5% win prob
Moneyline
SD
48.5% win prob
Projected score
3.3 – 2.7
The Milwaukee Brewers travel to San Diego Padres in a coin-flip matchup that leans barely toward the visitors. Brewers bats will need to stay disciplined: the simulation gives them only a 45% chance of more than 8 hits, and San Diego's pitching projects to keep runs scarce across nine innings. Padres hitters face a similar ceiling, with just a 46% chance of reaching 9 hits themselves. AccuScore's model has returned minus-2.6 percent on 16,018 games shaped exactly like this one in the National League. For San Diego to pull the upset at home, their offense will have to break through early and make Milwaukee chase from behind.
MLB
AccuScore's simulation makes Milwaukee Brewers 52% to beat San Diego Padres (49%). Projected score: Milwaukee Brewers 3.3, San Diego Padres 2.7.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Milwaukee Brewers the more likely winner at 52%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives San Diego Padres a 49% chance of beating Milwaukee Brewers, against 52% for Milwaukee Brewers. San Diego Padres are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
AccuScore projects Milwaukee Brewers 3.3, San Diego Padres 2.7.